Archive for September, 2008

IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR 2009 WEEK 4 NFL PICKS, VISIT OUR HOME PAGE (THESE ARE 2008’S PICKS)!

Week 4 in the NFL looks much easier than last week and there are a few games that I like a lot. The harder part is trying to decide which ones to bet on and which ones to pass on. I’m going to say that it should be a great strategy to bet against the Rams, Chiefs, and Lions this year. The Lions have a bye week this week, but I think we should be able to take advantage of the Rams and Chiefs this week. Those are two terrible teams on both sides of the ball who are facing excellent offenses with pretty good defenses to boot. The Bills and Broncos games were the two games that immediately jumped off the page at me.

For the Bills game, I bought a point to take the spread from Bills -8 to Bills -7. Most sportsbook’s have the line at Bill -9.5, so I figured I should jump at the opportunity to move the line down to 7 before it goes up even higher. I put 10 units on them to win 7. I then put 8 units on the Broncos -9.5. I also did a 3-team teaser for 5 units that pays 7 units (Chargers -2, Bills -1, and Broncos -2.5). I’ll analyze why I made these picks in the preview to follow.

SPREADS TO TAKE:

BUFFALO BILLS -8 @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

So the Rams are ranked 32nd in points allowed and 31st in points scored, so they must be really bad, right? The Rams rank in the bottom of every single category on offense and defense. There is literally nothing …

Well, the Chargers pick worked out like a charm. I knew that they would pull through for the win and that lots of points would be scored, but I expected a bit more from the Jets and thought they could keep it a closer game. I just wanted to post my updated record after this week. Although the early games didn’t go as planned, I hit a home run by nailing both the Sunday night and Monday night games to get myself back into the game by winning a total of 9 units from those game. I’m now up a total of 6 units on the year and hopefully, we can double it up in week 4. There’s a few games that I like this week and I should have my picks posted soon.

This Week’s Record:

— Straight Up: 12-4
— Against the Spread: 8-8
— Betting Units: -8

Cumulative Record:

— Straight Up: 31-15 (.674)
— Against the Spread: 26-19-1 (.577)
— My “Spreads to Take” Record Against the Spread: 10-5 (.667)
— Betting Units: +8…

Week 4 is coming up and a few of your might be scrambling to add a 3rd receiver since one of your top guys is on a bye week or another guy on your team just isn’t producing. There are a lot of WR options that are available on the waiver wire.

1.) Antonio Bryant (TB-WR) – With Galloway remaining on the injured list, Antonio Bryant has stepped up huge for the Bucs offense. He started the year with 3 receptions for 43 yards against the Bucs, and was silent in week 2, but he had an outstanding performance against the Bears last week. He had 10 receptions for 143 yards. Bryant is clearly Griese’s go-to guy and this week he’ll be up against the Packers, who just lost CB Al Harris for the season.

2.) Ike Hilliard (TB-WR) – Hilliard may be a more consistent player for the Bucs. Hilliard has 16 receptions, 143 receiving yards, and 2 TDs on the year. With 48 yards and a 0.67 TD average per game, he’s another reliable option in the 3rd WR spot.

3.) Robert Meachem (NO-WR) – Last week, I picked up David Patten since he’s been the Saints top WR option since Marques Colston went down. Unfortunately for me, Patten left the Broncos game with a groin injury after only 12 yards. I still got the W thanks to a big week from T.J. Houshmandzadeh (finally). With Marques Colston, Jeremy Shockey, and now pehaps David Patten out (he should be listed as questionable), Robert Meachem will be the Saint’s top guy at WR.

4.) Brandon Lloyd (CHI-WR) – Brandon Lloyd is emerging as the Bears top guy and is developing great chemistry with Kyle Orton. Brandon Lloyd just had …

FANTASY STUDS:
1.) Ronnie Brown – 113 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs, 19 passing yards, 1 passing TD
2.) Michael Turner – 104 yards, 3 TDs
3.) Marshawn Lynch – 83 rushing yards, 31 receiving yards, 2 TDs
4.) Joseph Addai – 78 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 2 TDs
5.) Maurice Jones-Drew – 107 rushing yards, 59 receiving yards, 1 TD
6.) Frank Gore – 130 rushing yards, 32 receiving yards, 1 TD
7.) Reggie Bush – 73 rushing yards, 75 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 1 fumble lost
8.) Matt Forte – 89 rushing yards, 66 receiving yards, 1 TD
9.) Brandon Marshall – 155 yards, 1 TD
10.) T.J. Houshmandzadeh – 146 yards, 1 TD
11.) Marion Barber – 142 rushing yards, 15 receiving yards, 1 TD, 1 fumble lost
12.) Julius Jones – 140 rushing yards, 4 receiving yards, 1 TD
13.) Steve Slaton – 116 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1 TD
14.) Rudi Johnson – 83 rushing yards, 48 receiving yards, 1 TD
15.) Larry Johnson – 121 yards, 1 TD
16.) Roddy White – 119 yards, 1 TD
17.) Larry Fitzgerald – 109 yards, 1 TD

FANTASY DUDS:
1.) Ben Roethlisberger – 131 passing yards, 1 INT, 2 fumbles Lost
2.) Brian Westbrook – 12 yards (Left game injured)
3.) Kellen Winslow – 14 yards
4.) Terrell Owens – 17 yards
5.) Eddie Royal – 17 yards
6.) Roy Williams – 18 yards
7.) Willie Parker – 20 yards
8.) Braylon Edwards – 27 yards
9.) Chad Johnson – 29 yards
10.) Andre Johnson – 29 receiving yards
11.) Torry Holt – 37 yards
12.) Calvin Johnson – 40 yards
13.) Plaxico Burress – 45 yards
14.) Ryan Grant – 54 yards, 1 fumble …

I’m feeling good about tonight, but I still don’t like the Chargers enough to give up 8. The Chargers should win this one, but I think it’ll be too tight to give up 8 points. I say it’s a back-and-forth game until the Jets run out of gas in the 4th and Rivers leads San Diego to a win late in the 4th. No, I’m not a psychic, this is merely a hunch.

Personally, I’m going with a 7-point teaser: Chargers -1 and Over 39.5. I’ll try to get 3 units back. Rivers and Favre should be throwing touchdowns tonight and the Chargers ain’t going 0-3 in their house on Monday Night. I could see the Chargers D giving up a few TDs and although the Jets defense may be tough, the Chargers offense is looking legit, so they should get themselves some points too.

Prediction — Chargers 28 – Jets 20…

NFL Week 3 Recap:

It was a crazy week in the NFL. I wasn’t crazy about this week, so I should have taken it easy this week, but I was up big form the first two weeks and I thought I could get up even more. I was big on Denver because I liked their offense against a depleted New Orleans defense. The Broncos did their job on offense, but their defense just couldn’t stop Drew Brees. Although the Broncos won, they couldn’t cover. That once against confirms my belief that the Broncos are the worst team to bet on them. Whenever I bet against them, they win. Whenever I bet on them, they lose. I then missed out on my Patriots/Giants teaser. I was shocked to see how terrible the Patriots were. I figured that if they could hold the Jets to 10 points, there is no way the Dolphins could score more than that on them, especially considering their 12 PPG average, but they shocked everyone this week. I also figured that if the Dolphins gave up 361 yards and 3 TDs through the air to the Cardinals last week, certainly Randy Moss would have a monster game. Wrong again. Well, those two games hurt me big, but I had the Cowboys bail me out a little in the late game.

Monday Night Football Preview:

NEW YORK JETS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -8

I’m not impressed with the Jets at all. They come into San Diego with a 1-1 record. They looked decent in week 1, but it was against the 1-15 Dolphins, so let’s not go crazy over that game. They then lost at home to the Patriots in week 2, 19-10. They had problems stopping the …

Like I said last week, this was going to be a tough week and there were no games that I thought were worth taking, but I wanted to play a little bit, and I was big on the Broncos O vs. a depleted Saints defense. Well, it was a rough week.

As I thought, that game was a shootout, but the Saints managed to do more damage than I thought. I thought Champ Bailey and Dre Bly would shut down the pass enough to give the Broncos a big win. The Broncos won, but they couldn’t cover, and the final score was 34-32.

My teaser didn’t work out either. The Bengals decided to show up and not lay down for the other team and who would have thought that Ronnie Brown would destroy the Patriots with 4 rushing TDs and a passing TD to boot to add insult to injury. The Panthers also let me down. If they would have won, a nice 7:1 parlay would have hit for me to help bail me out a little. I told you to watch out for those Jaguars this week.

I hit on the Eagles pick thanks to their phenomenal defense and most importantly, my Eagles picked up the big W in a hard-fought game.

I’m down 15 units today, but I was up 12 units from the first 2 weeks and another 2 units when I put some money on the MSU/ND game since I was in attendance and the Spartans gave me a nice 2 units to help out a bad day.

Tonight, the Dallas Cowboys are in Green Bay and I like the Cowboys. They are on the road and the Packers could possibly come away with the W, …