Comments on: NFL Week 8 Predictions, Picks Against the Spread http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/ A blog that provides free weekly NFL predictions and picks against the spread. Thu, 09 Feb 2012 04:46:44 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Vegas Martin http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-986 Vegas Martin Mon, 02 Nov 2009 12:59:32 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-986 I'm not crazy about this spread. The reason it's so high is because the Falcons were flat against the Cowboys last week. The Falcons are still a 4-2 football team with a 13th ranked offense and 8th ranked defense in terms of points. I expect New Orleans to win big, but the Falcons are always capable of playing catchup. I liked this spread a lot more at Saints -10, since a 10-point win is likely to occur and will give you the push, but it's getting to be steep at -12. Last year when these teams faced each other, the Saints won 29-25 at home and lost to the Falcons on the road 34-20. The over 55.5 is too many points, but the Saints are averaging almost 40 PPG, so think about that one. Both of the games last season scored 54, so it was a very strategic move by the books since everyone thinks this game will be something like a 41-31 shoot out. You could also tease the game, you could go Falcons +18.5 or Saints -5.5 and take the over 49. I'm not playing tonight's game, I'm just going to look at what's on the menu next week. Good luck! I’m not crazy about this spread. The reason it’s so high is because the Falcons were flat against the Cowboys last week. The Falcons are still a 4-2 football team with a 13th ranked offense and 8th ranked defense in terms of points. I expect New Orleans to win big, but the Falcons are always capable of playing catchup. I liked this spread a lot more at Saints -10, since a 10-point win is likely to occur and will give you the push, but it’s getting to be steep at -12. Last year when these teams faced each other, the Saints won 29-25 at home and lost to the Falcons on the road 34-20.

The over 55.5 is too many points, but the Saints are averaging almost 40 PPG, so think about that one. Both of the games last season scored 54, so it was a very strategic move by the books since everyone thinks this game will be something like a 41-31 shoot out.

You could also tease the game, you could go Falcons +18.5 or Saints -5.5 and take the over 49.

I’m not playing tonight’s game, I’m just going to look at what’s on the menu next week.

Good luck!

]]> By: Mike http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-985 Mike Mon, 02 Nov 2009 10:04:54 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-985 The line for New Orleans is now 12 on sportsbook. Would this influence your decision any for the game tonight? The line for New Orleans is now 12 on sportsbook. Would this influence your decision any for the game tonight?

]]> By: Vegas Martin http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-984 Vegas Martin Mon, 02 Nov 2009 04:39:26 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-984 TGIS. Thanks for the heads up on the game, I actually put some more money on the Cowboys after reading your comment to help make up some ground. I was debating whether to bring the SD game down a few spots, but stuck to the way I saw the game playing out and that was SD holding the Raiders to their typical 6 points, which would mean SD would get the cover if they scored 24 points, which they did. I had plenty of wins to make up for the SD loss this since the Cowboys, Bears, and Texans all covered for me. I'll take a 3-1 week any time. Good luck tomorrow. TGIS. Thanks for the heads up on the game, I actually put some more money on the Cowboys after reading your comment to help make up some ground. I was debating whether to bring the SD game down a few spots, but stuck to the way I saw the game playing out and that was SD holding the Raiders to their typical 6 points, which would mean SD would get the cover if they scored 24 points, which they did. I had plenty of wins to make up for the SD loss this since the Cowboys, Bears, and Texans all covered for me. I’ll take a 3-1 week any time.

Good luck tomorrow.

]]> By: TGISunday http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-983 TGISunday Mon, 02 Nov 2009 01:31:58 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-983 Chargers only by 8...some may think that the Raiders had a little more then everyone calculated, however I calculated that SD just can not win by 16.5 because of their lack of will to win...I know they won the game...but, they don't have what a great team like NE (for example) has to take care of business and win by 14+ points. SD scored 21 points in the 1st half today and did not score again until the 4th QTR...and only scored 3 point...the talent is there...Rivers, Sproles, Jackson, etc...very talented players...but no killer instinct to finish a team off...I have not seen it once this year...I pray every week that the line for SD is +14...as soon as I see that I start studying the stats, match ups. trends. etc on the game no matter who they are playing and I start considering it as one of my top picks...this week was a little different because of the Raiders lack of ability to score (as you pointed out)...but you have to love the dog when SD are favs with big spreads...they just can't do it. I found week 8 difficult...5-7 overall...top 5 picks 3-1...saints should not have a problem with 10 points vs falcons Mon Night...this will will maintain my 80% winning for my top 5 picks. Enjoy MNF...go saints!!...I will be investing big on this one. Take care TGISunday Chargers only by 8…some may think that the Raiders had a little more then everyone calculated, however I calculated that SD just can not win by 16.5 because of their lack of will to win…I know they won the game…but, they don’t have what a great team like NE (for example) has to take care of business and win by 14+ points. SD scored 21 points in the 1st half today and did not score again until the 4th QTR…and only scored 3 point…the talent is there…Rivers, Sproles, Jackson, etc…very talented players…but no killer instinct to finish a team off…I have not seen it once this year…I pray every week that the line for SD is +14…as soon as I see that I start studying the stats, match ups. trends. etc on the game no matter who they are playing and I start considering it as one of my top picks…this week was a little different because of the Raiders lack of ability to score (as you pointed out)…but you have to love the dog when SD are favs with big spreads…they just can’t do it.

I found week 8 difficult…5-7 overall…top 5 picks 3-1…saints should not have a problem with 10 points vs falcons Mon Night…this will will maintain my 80% winning for my top 5 picks.

Enjoy MNF…go saints!!…I will be investing big on this one.
Take care
TGISunday

]]> By: Mike http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-982 Mike Sun, 01 Nov 2009 22:03:15 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-982 I ended up taking the moneyline for Carolina. I couldn't believe they were 4 to 1 dogs. I love the Stewart and Williams combo. I know its a gamble but I figure Arizona is either hit or miss and they have been good for 2 straight games so a loss is due. I ended up taking the moneyline for Carolina. I couldn’t believe they were 4 to 1 dogs. I love the Stewart and Williams combo. I know its a gamble but I figure Arizona is either hit or miss and they have been good for 2 straight games so a loss is due.

]]> By: Some Guy http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-981 Some Guy Sun, 01 Nov 2009 21:06:39 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-981 jeez giants got rolllllllllled jeez giants got rolllllllllled

]]> By: Mike http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-980 Mike Sun, 01 Nov 2009 19:20:46 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-980 WOW how did Jackson get that wideopen in the secondary. I think he had a 30foot buffer around him. WOW how did Jackson get that wideopen in the secondary. I think he had a 30foot buffer around him.

]]> By: Vegas Martin http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-979 Vegas Martin Sun, 01 Nov 2009 17:18:34 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-979 I really like this 9-point, 3-team teaser: Saints -1, Cowboys -0.5, Cardinals -1. You have 3 strong home teams in pick 'em games. You could could also go Panthers +19, Falcons +19, 49ers +22 if you want to bank on those teams hanging in there against the Cardinals, Saints, and Colts. However, I don't really like that since 1 out of 3 of those teams may get blown out since they are facing ridiculous offenses. With 9-point teasers, usually both teams will cover when you tease it, but sometimes there can be a surprise. I really like this 9-point, 3-team teaser: Saints -1, Cowboys -0.5, Cardinals -1. You have 3 strong home teams in pick ‘em games.

You could could also go Panthers +19, Falcons +19, 49ers +22 if you want to bank on those teams hanging in there against the Cardinals, Saints, and Colts. However, I don’t really like that since 1 out of 3 of those teams may get blown out since they are facing ridiculous offenses.

With 9-point teasers, usually both teams will cover when you tease it, but sometimes there can be a surprise.

]]> By: Miz http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-978 Miz Sun, 01 Nov 2009 17:14:22 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-978 What's a good 3 team 9 point teaser? What’s a good 3 team 9 point teaser?

]]> By: ckuy1 http://www.thepassrush.com/2009/10/29/nfl-week-8-predictions-picks-against-the-spread/comment-page-1/#comment-977 ckuy1 Sun, 01 Nov 2009 07:51:25 +0000 http://www.thepassrush.com/?p=1832#comment-977 hey man great picks im going to bet no- 4/min+9/mia+9/dals-3.5/ari-4/ind-7 in a 6 point teaser risking $400 to win $2200 tell me what you think about that my top pick would be now over atl -10 hey man great picks im going to bet no- 4/min+9/mia+9/dals-3.5/ari-4/ind-7 in a 6 point teaser risking $400 to win $2200 tell me what you think about that my top pick would be now over atl -10

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