Archive for November, 2009

I’ll try to be direct here. It was another bad week. Our top 5 picks went 2-3 and the 3 other plays in the “picks to consider” category went 1-2. Before people decide to start sending hateful comments on how we “suck”, I just wanted to make a few points. Sometimes the NFL gets downright silly and simply unpredictable.

First point: I was 1 point away from having a winning record for the top 5 picks. The Cardinals were up 21-3 at the half. Now if you took the first-half line, you were in great shape. I do not know how they managed to put up 0 points in the 2nd half, but they did, and they won the game 21-13. With the spread set at -9, they didn’t cover by a single point. Now if I would have came out last week and said take the Rams +9, I would have been called a fool.

Second point: I was 1/2 of a point away from having a winning record for the picks in the “spreads to consider” category. The Packers had a 23-3 lead as well, but let the 49ers get a few scores and won by the score of 30-24. With the spread at 6.5, they lost by a half point. Now if I said take the 49ers +6.5 after the they scored 10 points after producing 5 turnovers from the week before, I would have been called a fool and would be laughed at.

Third point: The Steelers pick didn’t work out because of bullshit. They gave up a kickoff return for a TD on the first play of the game, which basically makes the spread Steelers -17 from the get go. Roethlisberger then throws an interception …

Overall Profit 0.5 units.

Last week we suffered several tough losses, especially with Fresno State as for someone reason they must have thought they only had to score 14 points to win. The final weeks of the college football season are the most difficult as several more key factors come in to play including: bowl eligilbility, coachs on the hot seat, and guys who are already preparing for life after football, just to name a few. We get back on track with the Thursday night game.

1) Colorado vs Oklahoma State (-17) for 1 unit. (Thursday Night). Important to note that OSU still has an outside chance at playing in a BCS game. They need every win they can get and running up the score on this Colorado team is a good place to start. Colorado can’t wait for the season to be over as this has been one of the most disappointing years in school history. You really have to lean towards home teams playing for something verse road teams playing for absolutely nothing. Tough to see Colorado even staying close. My power ratings have OSU favored by 20. Lay the 17.

2) Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee State (-11) for 1 unit.

3) Virginia at Clemson (-13) First Half for 1 unit

4) Arizona State at UCLA (-4) for 1 unit

5) LSU (+4) at Mississippi for 1 unit

Other games will be posted later.…

We are back with our NFL Week 11 Picks Against the Spread.  Last week was rough.  The underdogs finally had their day.  Our top 8 picks went 3-5 and the games that I personally played went 3-3.  I was able to get back in the game with back-to-back winners in the Sunday Night and Monday Night games, which were both listed in my top 8 picks.  I apologize for the poor start, but we came back with the solid finish to the week.  We’ve had a tremendous amount of success in the NFL this season.  In the past three weeks, our top picks have a 14-4 (77.77%) record.  That amount of success is unprecedented, so get off my case about 1 bad week.  This week I seek to prove all the haters wrong.  I’m sticking to my guns and will continue to bet against teams like the Rams, Browns, Raiders, Bucs, and Chiefs, who are facing solid teams with the exception of the Lions (Cardinals, Lions, Bengals, Saints, and Steelers respectively).  Top spreads ranked by strength are listed at the bottom.  As you can tell, I did more due diligence on each game.  I packed in a ton of analysis into each game and kept my eye on the injury reports.

MIAMI DOLPHINS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS -3

Most people see this matchup and want to jump on the Dolphins +3.  First lesson in sports betting, well maybe not the first, but one of the top 5: always check the injury reports!  Ronnie Brown is out in this game.  I provide links to resources for you to use that I use before picking my games.  Look at the NFL Information section and click the NFL Injury Report link or visit …

We may have been down, but we certainly are not out!  Back-to-back Sunday and Monday night winners baby!!!!  THE PASS RUSH conducted a little damage control.  I have to admit that we, along with most people placing wagers this Sunday, got a little banged up on Sunday (during the day at least), but if you kept the faith, and hung in there with us, you hopefully recouped your losses and then some.

Week In Review: Our top pick of the Saints -13.5 over the Rams didn’t work out due to the defense surrendering 23 points to a team that typically scores 6 points, as well as 2 INTs from Drew Brees.  We had some saving grace with the Titans as our 2nd strongest pick of the week to help even things out, but the Dallas over Green Bay pick failed to pan out as well.  The Broncos -3.5 over the Redskins was another play that I was pretty high on, and it was looking money after the 1st quarter when the Broncos had a 14-7 lead.  Unfortunatey, Kyle Orton was injured in the 2nd quarter and had to leave the game.   With Denver’s backup taking snaps, it was all downhill after that point, and a 3/13, 13 yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT stat line are all you need to know about Chris Simms’ performance.

However, after a rough day, we got you back in the game if you boldly followed us into the Sunday and Monday night games. DOUBLE STAMP! THE PASS RUSH took down back-to-back night games to recoup all losses.  We got the cover with the Patriots +3 and it was all the sweeter that they lost due to my hatred for the Patriots.  We also got …

What a game.

THE PASS RUSH gets the cover. STAMP!

THE PASS RUSH gets to see Brady/Belichick lose on a stupid play call. STAMP!

THE PASS RUSH gains momentum going into Monday Night. STAMP!

VERSION 1:

VERSION 2 (HIGHER QUALITY — NFL NETWORK W/ ANALYSIS):

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The books were due for a comeback. They’ve been dominated by THE PASS RUSH for three straight weeks and today was their day. It seemed as if every underdog was able to cover. So far this week, 9 out of 13 underdogs covered.

The way the spreads looked, I don’t think I would have played it any different. I loved the Saints pick and did not see the Rams as a potential threat to score 23 points when they average 6.3 PPG. The Broncos should have defeated the Redskins.  They had a 14-7 lead thanks to 2 deep TD passes from Kyle Orton, but Kyle Orton was injured in the 2nd quarter, had to leave the game, and the Broncos backup QB was completely worthless. The Packers lose to the Bucs last week and dominate the Cowboys this week? What is going on in the NFL?

In our pick ’em league, 19/20 people picked the Saints -13.5 over the Rams, so don’t point the finger, we were all fooled. 20/20 picked Denver -3.5 over the Redskins, but the Orton injury cost us that one.

In THE PASS RUSH pick ’em league, only 2 out of 20 teams finished above .500, so that tells you just what kind of week it truly was.

At least the Titans and Patriots prevented what would have could have been a painful week.   Another crazy week in the NFL. Every week can’t be easy.…

Attention Everyone,

I have a very important announcement to make: CANNON BALL!

If you’re a dedicated readers of the site, I’m sure you’ve seen me plug the pick ’em league like crazy. I’m going to do it 1 more time because I want to ensure that we have a competitive league with active members. I want to make sure that everyone knows that it’s FREE to join and a prize will be on the line to keep things interesting and active.

The winner of THE PASS RUSH Pick ‘Em league on Yahoo will win one of these bad boys: an NFL Shop custom t-shirt with the team and player name/number of his choice. The league information, link to register, and link to the homepage is located on the right side of the page above the frosty beer mug (if you want to donate beer so we can continue our awesomeness).

You don’t want to be late to the party and have to play catch up next week, you want to start picking games this week, so hurry up and sign up. You still have 24 hours before 1:00 kickoff tomorrow.

I also wanted to note that Brandon is amazing at college basketball (9-0 in his last 9) over at THE TRIPLE DOUBLE and I’m getting hot with my hockey picks at THE ONETIMER (7-2 in my last 9) and I have 5 great picks tonight.

Thank you for your continued patronage of THE PASS RUSH.

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