Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bears 23.18555 – Buccaneers 18.52264

Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers: Redskins 20.93795 – Panthers 18.83872

Seattle Seahawks @ Cleveland Browns: Seahawks 19.56502 – Browns 21.18917

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals: Steelers 21.31028 – Cardinals 16.486

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans: Texans 19.45904 – Titans 21.20014

Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions: Falcons 17.56672 – Lions 32.7658

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders: Chiefs 15.33188 – Raiders 34.61589

St. Louis Rams @ Dallas Cowboys: Rams 10.53784 – Cowboys 29.21914

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings: Packers 32.42156 – Vikings 18.55227

Indianapolis Colts @ New Orleans Saints: Colts 18.76741 – Saints 39.59327

San Diego Chargers @ New York Jets: Chargers 19.96875 – Jets 26.24908

Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins: Broncos 22.71929 – Dolphins 20.63871

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Ravens 28.76889 – Jaguars 9.900965

Plays resulting from scores:

TOP PLAY (off the Vegas line by the most points):

Raiders (-4) L

OTHERS:

Lions (-3.5) L

Panthers (+3) W

Jets (+2.5) W

Cowboys (-11.5) W

Saints (-14) W

Ravens (-8)

Let’s hope for another successful week!

Cleveland Browns @ Oakland Raiders: Browns 18.68 – Raiders 30.98

St. Louis Rams @ Green Bay Packers: Rams 11.08 – Packers 40.07

Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots: Cowboys 26.01 – Patriots 34.75

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaguars 8.14 – Steelers 22.42

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons: Panthers 23.90 – Falcons 24.48

Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals: Colts 12.9o – Bengals 30.61

Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants: Bills 35.76 – Giants 26.76

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Saints 32.11 – Buccaneers 21.14

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins: Eagles 17.23 – Redskins 24.19

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens: Texans 16.14 – Ravens 27.87

San Francisco 49ers @ Detroit Lions: 49ers 22.34 – Lions 25.02

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears: Vikings 19.41 – Bears 21.68

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets: Dolphins 17.27 – Jets 27.87

Plays resulting from scores:

Raiders (-6) W

Packers (-14.5) W

Panthers (+5.5) L

Bengals (-7) *UPDATED LINE (-6) W

Bills (+3) P

Saints (-4.5) L

Redskins (+1) *UPDATED LINE (+3) L

Ravens (-6.5) W

4-3-1 overall — BIGGEST PLAY GREEN BAY WINNER

The score that produced that biggest difference from a Vegas line was the Green Bay game having them win by 29 points which is roughly 14.5 points off the spread.

P.S. – Tried it out for the first time last week and it gave me Green Bay, Buffalo, Tennessee, Indy, Detroit, and NYG, going 3-3 ATS.

Which teams has gained the most yards?

New England Patriots (507.5 yard per game)

Which team has gained the least yards?

Seattle Seahawks (254 yards per game)

Which team has given up the most yards?

New England Patriots (368.8 yards per game)

Which team has given up the least yards?

Pittsburgh Steelers (157.5 yards per game)

Which team has allowed the most 40+ yard passing plays? 

Miami Dolphins (6)

Which team has allowed the least 40+ yard passing plays? 

Tennessee Titans (0), Dallas Cowboys (0), and Pittsburgh Steelers (0)

Which team has allowed the most 20+ yard passing plays?

New England Patriots (30)

Which team has allowed the least 20+ yard passing plays?

Pittsburgh Steelers (7)

Which team has the most sacks?

Washington Redskins (15) and Philadelphia Eagles (15)

Which team has the least sacks?

Buffalo Bills (5)

Which team has the most interceptions?

Buffalo Bills (8) and Green Bay Packers (8)

Which team has the least interceptions?

Pittsburgh Steelers (0)

Which team has the most 1st downs?

New England Patriots (27.5 per game)

Which team has the least 1st downs?

Kansas City Chiefs (13.2 per game)

Which defense has allows the most 1st downs?

Oakland Raiders (27.2 per game)

Which defense has allows the least 1st downs?

Pittsburgh Steelers (14 per game)

Which team is the best in 3rd down conversions?

San Diego Chargers (58%)

Which teams is the worst in 3rd-down conversions?

Miami Dolphins (36%)

Which defense is best in 3rd-down stops?

New Yorks Jets (74%) and Washington Redskins (74%)

Which defense is the worst in 3rd-down stops?

New England Patriots (52%) and Indianapolis Colts (52%)

It was good to see some old names in the pick ‘em league.  2009 Champion DeezNuts is back. Memphis Gangsters is also back. I’m sure I’m leaving a few people out, but those two are legends. It’s not too late to sign up! Winner gets  free NFL Shop t-shit.  The league ID is 63470 an the password is thepassrush. There’s still 255 more regular season games.

In a somewhat surprising move, nearly a majority of people in the pick ‘em league took the Saints +4.5. With a total of 26 participants, the league ended up at an even 50/50 split. In Yahoo’s consensus, 84% were siding with the Green Bay, although I believe that takes into consideration leagues that are both straight up and against the spread, skewing the data.

In the upcoming games, the Yahoo consensus is favoring the following teams in order: (1) New England; (2) Arizona; (3) Philadelphia; (4) Kansas City; and (5) Cleveland. I am high on the Patriots, Chiefs, and Falcons this Sunday, which you can read in my week 1 write-up.

I am warning right now, do not bet on the Eagles -5 against the Rams. I am an Eagles fan and very nervous going into this game. The Eagles may win, but it may be a nail-biter. The Eagles have serious issues on the offensive line. Vick has been on his back too many times this preseason and the Eagles are still claiming linemen off waivers to patch their offensive line together. With a rookie at center in the dome, expect a lot of false starts, which will really shoot the Eagles in the foot.

As far as choosing a sportsbook, there are plenty out there, and most also offer you the chance to play online blackjack, compete in poker tournaments, and enjoy other casino games as well. Once you get your NFL bets in, playing a little poker while you watch the games can be a perfect way to spend the afternoon. Many people worry about the safety and security of online sportsbook and other gambling sites but online wagering has become a very big business, to the point that many companies are large, reputable businesses that trade on public stock exchanges, so they definitely aren’t shady, fly-by-night operations.

One nice bonus of signing up at an online sportsbook is exactly that: a bonus. Many sportsbooks offer free cash bonuses for players that create an account, and you can often get a sportsbook bonus as well as a poker or casino bonus, which lets you enjoy the best online roulette, craps, and video poker odds, as the extra bonus money potentially gives you an edge that you’ll never find in a Las Vegas casino, where you’re lucky to even get a free drink these days.

Bonuses come in different types, so be sure to check the actual details of the offer. Most new player bonuses require that you wager a certain amount betting on NFL games or other spots, with the bonus only available to cash out once you’ve bet enough; other bonuses are added to your account after you’ve wagered enough and can be withdrawn immediately once you’ve cleared the wagering requirements.

New England hasn’t been beaten at home in more than two years. Without Rodgers tonight, Green Bay really has no hope of winning this one outright. Cover the spread? Maybe. The Packers are simply a one-dimensional team and that won’t cut it tonight. The Packers don’t have a running game at all, and with Rodgers out tonight, their passing game seems hopeless also. I feel like this is a gimme game for New England, but they need to take

No Rodgers, No Chance

advantage so they can secure home-field throughout the playoffs. What might keep the Packers in this one is that they are only one game behind the Giants for the final wild card spot. In the Packers’ last two trips to New England they won 28-10 both times, but the last time they visited was 2002.

The Packers better pray that New England keeps turning it over. They’re going to need to be very successful on special teams. Without Rodgers tonight, I don’t see them putting up very many points unless it comes from the defense or special teams.

Prediction: Patriots 34 – Packers 17

Pick Against the Spread: New England (-14)

1:00 Games:

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

There is one thing that stands out to me in this game, and that is that Colt McCoy will be the starter for Cleveland. It just seems like they have so much more success with him back there at QB. Being a Cleveland fan myself, I was always a little nervous when Delhomme was the started simply because it seemed like he threw an interception every other play. The Bengals do have more talent than the Browns, but they have been just terrible this year. Cleveland is also coming off a horrible loss in Buffalo. I see an ugly game here with Cleveland winning by a small margin.

McCoy will be a big reason for the Browns winning today.

Prediction: Browns 23 – Bengals 17

Pick Against the Spread: Cleveland (+1)

Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Can you believe Detroit beat Green Bay last week? I can’t. These two teams used to always play for the worst spot in the old NFL Central. This game means a lot more this year. With a Lions win, they eliminate Tampa Bay from any playoff hopes if they pull off the upset. Detroit has a terrible pass defense and which will allow Freeman to get his looks. I think Tampa’s run defense is worse though, and Detroit should be able to run all over the field. I see it going back and forth, but Detroit covering the spread.

Prediction: Lions 24 – Buccaneers 20

Pick Against the Spread: Detroit (+4.5)

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys

These teams are just playing for pride now. The Cowboys have some players that are actually in jeopardy of losing their jobs. Washington’s defense is ranked last overall. Their season went to the lowest of lows last week then a botched extra point that would have sent it to overtime turned into a disaster and they lost by one. I don’t know what Redskins team is going to come out today, and that goes for Dallas as well. I suggest staying away from the spread here and taking the total instead.

Prediction: Cowboys 27 – Redskins 13

Pick: Under (44.5)

4:00 Games:

New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers

It seems like just yesterday the Jets were 9-2 and probably looking to get home field advantage and a top seed in the playoffs. Well, then they got smashed by the Patriots 45-3, and then they were beat by the Dolphins?? You would have thought after getting beat so bad by New England that they would have been out for revenge the following week. Well that obviously wasn’t the case, but this week it will be. I feel like the Jets won’t let it happen three weeks in a row. Yes, Pittsburgh is playing very good football right now. Roethlisberger hasn’t seen this Jets team since 2007 and he played terrible against them posting just a 58.8 passer rating. Sure the whole world is on Pitt here, I feel differently though. Steelers win but don’t cover.

Prediction: Look for a very low scoring affair. Steelers 17 – Jets 14

Pick Against the Spread: New York (+4.5)

Both of these teams are surprisingly one game out of their divisions, but this is why I think San Diego is going to cover this spread.

Chargers win big tonight

The Chargers haven’t been beaten once this year, actually they’ve only beaten themselves. It’s a repeated trend that has hurt them dramatically this season. Special teams mishaps, turnovers, and being one of the most penalized team in the NFL doesn’t help either. When they play while making smart decisions and taking care of the ball, they’re virtually impossible to beat. So as long as they don’t make stupid mistakes, they should roll in this one. The 49ers have only had one big road win this year and that was in Arizona against the Cardinals.

Don’t take the 49ers defense lightly though as they are coming off a game where they had a season-high four interceptions.

Rivers has been playing like he should win the MVP this year, while Smith might be in jeopardy of losing his starting job. I see the Chargers getting up early and cruising rest of the way in this one. San Diego has beaten San Francisco in each of its last two meetings.

The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games, 4-1 ATS in their last five as a favorite, and 11-4 in their last 15 games in December.

Prediction: Chargers 31 – 49ers 10

Pick Against the Spread: San Diego -9.5

Chemistry is the key word tonight for the Vikings, and I see it happening between Moss and Favre tonight. Moss, who has been able to catch anything within reach, and Favre loving to throw the ball deep, should be the perfect match and potentially a win tonight for Minnesota. Moss will be able to stretch the field for Minnesota, therefore giving

He's back..

opportunities to Adrian Peterson all night long to run the football. Tampa Bay took advantage coming off their bye week by upsetting the Bengals, let’s see if Minnesota can take advantage of coming off theirs.

Minnesota has definitely been looking for someone like Moss to be acquired to their team. They have only four passes for 20+ yards this season, and that’s the fewest in the NFL. The Jets are ranked fourth in rush defense, but will have their work cut out for them tonight with Peterson, who ranks second in the NFL in rushing yards per game.

Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in their last five week five games, as well as 4-1 ATS in their last five against a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Vikings 24 – Jets 17

Pick Against the Spread: Minnesota +5

New Orleans Saints (-7) @ Arizona Cardinals

The key for the Saints this week is to slow down on their turnovers. In their last two games they’ve fumbled the ball four times, still managing to stay in the plus column in that department. The one good thing is that their about to face a

Drew Brees has accumulated 1131 passing yards so far this season.

Cardinals team who allows 29.5 PPG and 388 yards per game. The Saints are still without Reggie Bush. Since Arizona has such a sad defense allowing 155 rushing yards per game, maybe the Saints will get their running game going finally.

New Orleans has won the past two meetings, but fell 34-10 in their last meeting in Arizona in ’04. I like that the Saints are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings with Arizona.

Prediction: Saints 34 – Arizona 13

Pick Against the Spread: New Orleans -7

San Diego Chargers (-6.5) @ Oakland Raiders

The Chargers head into this game coming off two regular season wins last season winning 24-20 in Oakland and 24-16 in San Diego. Not only did they sweep the series last year, but also the five years previous to that. The Raiders have lost the four of their games by a combines 93 points.

I think this game has the making of being close most of the way, with San Diego pulling out some late offense to cover the spread. San Diego is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Oakland and 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.

Prediction: Chargers 27 – Raiders 20

Pick Against the Spread: San Diego -6.5

Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys (-7)

Dallas better be able to contain Chris Johnson. I think Vince Young’s best option this week is to spread the ball out. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last six when coming off a bye week. The Titans have won 10 straight against NFC opponents and 15 of their last 16. With the Cowboys playing a 3-4 defense Johnson must have a breakout game. The only thing holding back the Titans are that they are the league’s most penalized team along with Detroit, costing them 344 yards.

I like the NFC stat too much though. Tennessee has just dominated the NFC and I see them covering this spread handily.

Prediction: Titans 24 – Cowboys 20

Pick Against the Spread: Tennessee +7