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Week 13 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on December 1st, 2012 | Comment »

In week 12 we hit our top play in a teaser featuring Bengals (-2.5) over Raiders and Broncos (-3.5) over Chiefs. Sorry I could get my NFL betting picks up earlier this week, but it’s better late than never.

CHICAGO BEARS (-3.5) over Seattle Seahawks — Confidence: 8/10 — DA BEARS. Have to go Bears here at home.

Minnesota Vikings (+9.5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS — Confidence: 5/10 — Packers can easily lay a beating on the Vikings, but I think there’s a 50/50 shot of the Vikings ending up in the money with the points. Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 following a straight up loss. I would rather tease Packers to (-2.5).

San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) over ST. LOUIS RAMS — Confidence: 7/10 — 49ers had a let-down game at home against the Rams the last time they played which ended up in a tie. Last week’s defensive performance from the 49ers against the Saints restored my confidence in them and Colin Kaepernick has given their offense a bit of a spark.

NEW YORK JETS (-4.5) over Arizona Cardinals — Confidence: 7/10 — There aren’t too many teams lousier than the Jets, but the Cardinals are one of them, and there couldn’t be a better opponent to take out some season frustrations on.

Carolina Panthers (-3.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS — Confidence: 7/10 — The Chiefs are headed towards getting the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, don’t screw it up by starting to win now.

DETROIT LIONS (-4.5) over Indianapolis Colts — Confidence: 6/10 — The public is favoring the Colts (+4.5), but I’m liking the Lions here. The Lions had two super tough opponents at home in the Packers and Texans in the …

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Week 12 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 24th, 2012 | Comment »

Week 12 PicksOur Thanksgiving Day Special delivered once again — 2-0-1 ATS. The Texans pushed and we hit on Redskins (+3.5) and Patriots/Over 41.5 teaser. This Sunday, I’m not crazy about any particular games. I’m pretty much taking most of the home teams here. I would probably tease Bengals (-2.5) with Broncos (-3.5), and would consider taking a shot on the Colts (-3), Seahawks (-2.5) and Packers (+3). Targetting the Eagles also makes a lot of sense to me as I’ve been witnessing their disgrace throughout the season.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (-9.5) over Oakland Raiders — Confidence: 5/10 — This is too many points for the Bengals to lay, but I just can’t take the Raiders with the points. The Raiders secondary is atrocious so Andy Dalton and A.J. Green will do some damage. The Raiders will be one-dimensional with Darren McFadden out once again. I would tease this spread down to Bengals (-2.5) to pair with another game such as Broncos (-3.5).

CLEVELAND BROWNS (+1) over Pittsburgh Steelers — Confidence: 5/10 — I’m putting a bit of blind faith in the Browns. Charlie Batch will be the starter in this one and the Steelers offense will be without Antonio Brown. Troy Polamalu will also be out once again. I liked what I saw from the Browns last week against the Cowboys and the Browns beat the Chargers and Bengals at home.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-3) over Buffalo Bills — Confidence: 7/10 — The Colts are 4-1 SU and ATS at home this season. The Bills are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS on the road. The Bills will hang around and will keep this one close, but I expect the Colts to pull this one out. Interesting trend that the Colts are 6-0 …

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NFL Thanksgiving Day Football Special

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 22nd, 2012 | Comment »

NFL Week 12 PicksHappy Thanksgiving everyone! We have very much to be thankful for in November. So far this month we have gone 28-14 ATS. November has simply been our strongest month year in and year out and has padded our pockets full of cash.

Houston Texans (-3) over DETROIT LIONS — Confidence: 8/10 — Thanks to the Texans near loss to the Jaguars at home last week, we are getting a very favorable spread for this game. 72% of the public is taking the Texans and that’s who I like in this one. Eliminate last week’s outlier against the Jags and the Texans have had one of the top defenses in the league right up there with the Bears and 49ers. The Lions have been very disappointing this season with a 4-6 SU and ATS record. The Lions are coming off back-to-back losses to the Packers and Vikings. Detroit hasn’t even been a strong team at home this season. They are 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS. The Texans, on the other hand, have played well on the road going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Earlier this season, the Lions played very well against the run, but that’s slipped in the last few weeks. The Lions have given up 4.95 YPC in the last four weeks and if that continues to be the case today, Arian Foster is going to have a big day, the Texans will control the clock, and dominate this football game. The Lions may also be without their starting left tackle. The left tackle is the most important position on the football field in my opinion as it protects the quarterback’s blind side. The Eagles have been without their starting Pro Bowl left tackle and see how that …

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Week 11 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 17th, 2012 | Comment »

Monday Night Pick ATS Giants vs. SaintsHad to do some quick picks this week. Here we go.

BUFFALO BILLS (-2) over Miami Dolphins — Have to go Bills at home. Miami didn’t look too good against the Colts. Reggie Bush was benched and Tannehill struggled.

ATLANTA FALCONS (-10) over Arizona Cardinals — Too many points for me to bite on it, but the Cardinals won’t have the offense so I’ll favor the dirty birds. Teasing Falcons (-3) to pair with another game looks like a strong choice.

Cleveland Browns (+8) over DALLAS COWBOYS — Expect Dallas to win, but the Browns will put up a fight and I think they land a backdoor cover in garbage time.

Green Bay Packers (-3.5) over DETROIT LIONS — Packers dominate this matchup.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3.5) over Kansas City Chiefs — Bengals looked strong at home against the Giants last week. That should continue this week against the Chiefs.

ST. LOUIS RAMS (-3.5) over New York Jets — The Jets are imploding. The Rams nearly beat the 49ers on the road last week and they’ve been strong at home.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-3.5) over Philadelphia Eagles — I’m picking against my Eagles again because they suck and find every way possible to lose games. FIRE ANDY REID!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS — I’ve been thoroughly impressed with the way the Bucs have been playing over the last 5 weeks. The Panthers just don’t have it together.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-15.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars — LOL at the spread, but this should be blowout city.

New Orleans Saints (-5) over OAKLAND RAIDERS — Raiders got rocked by the Ravens because they’re a one-dimensional team with Run DMC and Mike Goodson both out. The Saints should rock the Raiders this week …

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Week 10 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 9th, 2012 | Comment »

Week 10 Picks Against the SpreadLast week was a solid week with a 8-1 ATS record after the 1:00 games and a 11-3 ATS record to finish the week. November has historically been my strong month, which makes the rest of the month very exciting. Last week was a good week for the favorites and this week looks like another week for the favorites. My favorite teaser play this week is Patriots (-4)/49ers (-4). Both teams are at home against weak opponents. The same teaser hit for me last week. Broncos, Lions, and Cowboys are my top road favorites.

Indianapolis Colts (-3) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS — Confidence: 7/10 — I look to bet against the Jaguars nearly every week. My only concern as that while Andrew Luck has been phenomenal at home, he’s struggled on the road. However, the Jags are just awful and the Colts should easily win this one.

Denver Broncos (-3.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS — Confidence: 7/10 — Peyton Manning is at the top of his game. If he could pick apart a Bengals defense on the road, he should have no problems finding holes in the Panthers poor defense. I’m confident that he’ll be able to pull off back-to-back road wins.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3) over San Diego Chargers — Confidence: 7/10 — The Bucs have been red hot over the last four weeks as their offense is producing huge numbers thanks to Doug Martin, Mike Williams, and Vincent Jackson. They’ve had a fairly soft schedule in that stretch, so I’m looking forward to how they’ll perform against a team the caliber of the Chargers.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (-6) over Tennessee Titans — Confidence: 6/10 — I’m not crazy about laying the points to take Miami, but they’ve been solid on both …

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Week 10 Picks Coming Soon

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 8th, 2012 | Comment »

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8-1 ATS

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 4th, 2012 | Comment »

Love weeks like this. 8-1 ATS on Sunday. Hit on my Packers/Texans teaser, Lions, and Broncos. Brandon went 4-1 ATS on Saturday. November is typically our month for domination. No big deal.

I’m the man, little did they know….

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