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Posted by in College Football Picks on December 26th, 2008 | Comment »

Boise State let me down late as they could not stop TCU down the stretch, however if you took the points then you had an easy cover.

I made two bets before I left Vegas on bowl games and Central Michigan was one of them.  I was able to get the line at -6.5, but it is now at -7. There is definetly some home field advantage here as CMU is bringing tons of fans, while FAU is only bringing about 1500. CMU has played in the Motor City Bowl for the last 2 years and have played well in both. FAU has been poor on the road this year going 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS. Another factor is that at least two starters on defense for FAU are either out or suspended for the game and one other back-up is out as well. That puts in even more stress on a weak defense that will have its hands full trying to slow down that high powered CMU offense. CMU dropped the last two games of the year, but I don’t think that is as big a deal as many think. CMU lost to a red hot Ball State team, but played very tough and the game wasn’t decided until the last few minutes. Their other loss came to Eastern Michigan, but many times after a tough loss and with a game that is virtually meaningless you will see a team have a big let down and lose. Therefore, both of those losses can easily be explained. Tonight will be different. This is Dan LeFevour’s last game and he is going to go out in style. He should easily light up this weak FAU defense. While CMU’s defense is nothing to brag about, they are better than FAU’s D and should come up with some big stops. Lay the points with CMU as they should win in a route.

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