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Posted by in College Football Picks on December 18th, 2009 | Comment »

Great to be back! Bowl games are a great opportunity to make a ton of cash as there are a ton of live dogs to be played.

I will have a write for probably all of the bowl games and recommendations.

Wyoming vs Fresno State (-11): for 1 unit. – This Fresno State has played a brutal schedule playing some of the toughest teams in the nation including Cincinnati, Boise State, and a strong Wisconsin team. However, they did lose all three of those games. Plus you factor in the travel schedule and they went from Cincinnati to Hawaii, which had to be grueling on this squad. I think the time off will be a real difference here for Fresno State. Down the stretch this team just looked tired. I love that they have had a couple weeks to rest and get focused for the Bowl game. Another important factor is that most of Fresno State’s players have been in a bowl game before so they will be ready for the media and extra hype and attention that comes with playing in these games. Wyoming is probably one the best college stories of the year. The way they got things turned around and are now in a bowl game is huge. However, that could be their downfall. They may just be happy to be there instead of ready to play one of the best opponents they have played all year long. Wyoming has also been burned by the run all year long and Fresno State has run the ball very well against almost everyone they have played. Lay the points here with Fresno State as they win going away 44-24. I also recommend playing the OVER. L for 1.1 units

Central Florida (+3) vs Rutgers for 1 unit. Important to note that this game is being played only 2 hours away from the Central Florida campus so look for the Golden Knights to have some homefield advantage. Rutgers has been a strong squad, but I just see a real let down factor here. With three games to go Rutgers looked to be gearing up for a run at a lot bigger bowl game then they are playing in now, but after dropping 2 of their last 3 they are playing in a game that I feel will be difficult for them to be that excited about. Central Florida has the ability to cause turnovers as well and that will be the difference in this game. Rutgers freshman QB has been prone to interceptions and the CBs from Central Florida should be able to come up with a couple picks as Rutgers really struggled down the stretch. Take the points with Central Florida as they get the win outright. L for 1.1 unit

3) Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Miss (-3.5) for 2 units. My source of power ratings have Southern Miss favored by 7 to 10 points so I think this line is very low. MTST finished the season playing great football, winning and covering their last six. However, not one of those teams is playing in a bowl game. On the other, Southern Miss went 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS and 5 of those 6 teams are playing in bowl games. Therefore strength of schedule alone makes Southern Miss a strong play. This game does come down to QB play though. Both are stepping up in class in this effort as Young will face the Sun Belt’s top defense in MTST, but he has handled himself well only throwing one interception in196 passes and is completing well over 50% of his passes. Dasher averages almost 300 yards in total offense a game, so it is of utmost importance that Southern Miss finds a way to contain him. If they do then they win this game easily. Lay the points with Southern Miss as they win 31-17. L for 2.2 units

4) BYU (+2.5) vs Oregon State for 1 unit. I honestly believe this will be the best bowl game of the year. You have two great offenses that should both put up a bunch of points. Both of these QBs have had outstanding years. Max Hall should be able to consistently hookup with his tight end Pitta, plus they have a balanced running game as Unga ran for over 1,000 yards this year. The key loss of CB Tim Clark will allow BYU to really attack that secondary. The key to this game will be BYU’s ability to prevent the big play by OSU either on special teams or through the air on offense. Secondly, despite OSU’s team saying differently, you have to question their motivation for this game. After losing to Oregon and losing out on the chance to play in a BCS bowl game, and now playing in a meaningless bowl before Christmas. BYU has been to this same bowl game for the past four years and return here to Las Vegas after a disappointing loss last year against Arizona. While this may not have been the bowl the were thinking of originally when the season began you have to believe they have some unfinished business to resolve from last year. I think BYU has a great chance of winning this game outright. W for 1 unit

5) SMU vs Nevada UNDER 72.5 for 1 unit. W for 1 unit

6) Marshall vs Ohio (-3) for 1 unit L for 1.1 units

7) Pittsburgh vs North Carolina (+2.5) for 1 unit W for 1 unit

8) USC vs Boston College (+7.5) for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

9) Air Force (+4.5) vs Houston for 2 units. GET THIS EARLY THE LINE WILL MOVE IN FAVOR OF AF.

10) Texas A&M vs Georgia OVER 66.5 for 1 unit. Neither of these teams have play defense very well especially A&M, which has really struggled playing D on the road, almost 500 yards per contest on the road. As bad as their D has been the offense has almost been equally as talented, going for almost 400 yards a contest and 30 points. Look for both of these offenses to come to play tonight. I just don’t see, no matter how well these defenses play, the defenses being able to control these balanced and talented offenses. Play the OVER. Recommended play on Georgia -6.5. L for 1.1 units

11) UCLA vs Temple (+4) for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

12) Wisconsin (+3) vs Miami FL for 1 unit. W for 1 unit

13) Bowling Green (-2) vs Idaho for 2 units.

14) Nebraska (PK) vs Arizona for 1 unit.

15) Navy vs Missouri (-6.5) for 1 unit.

16) Bowling Green/Idaho UNDER 68 for 1 unit.

17) Nebraska/Arizona OVER 40 for 1 unit.

More picks posted later.

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