Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction and Pick Against the Spread

Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Picks on October 18th, 2010 | Comment »

The stars come out on Monday Night.

Sorry I wasn’t able to get around to the Sunday Night game. It didn’t matter really since the game pushed. If you know me, you know I’m one for teasers and since I didn’t like the Colts -3, I would have recommended the Colts +4 with the over, which would have been a winner — I swear. I split games yesterday taking the Saints and Bears. I got caught up watching my Phillies bounce back in Game 2 of the NLCS.

TENNESSEE TITANS (-3) @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Tonight I like the Titans, but you all know the story. You have to be careful betting against a home dog on Monday Night. That didn’t help the Dolphins out two weeks ago though. The Pats special teams absolutely dominated them.

I’m not a fan of the Jaguars. Never have been and never probably will be. I can’t explain their win over the Colts two weeks other than to say that they were “due for a win” after two losses to the Eagles and Chargers in total beat-down fashion. The Jaguars put up 36 and 31 their last two games, so are they finally getting their act together? The Bills win doesn’t really do much for me, but I’m still left wondering how they did it against the Colts. Like I said, they were just due.

I like the Titans here for a very small play. The Titans have the edge on defense which is what should be the difference tonight. This game should be close throughout, but I don’t think the Jags can pull off three straight wins an move to 4-2. I’m always dogging the Jaguars so don’t put too much faith into this pick. Nobody made a living betting against home dogs on Monday night, but I’m going to favor the Titans tonight.

These teams know each other very well, so expect a close one. Home field may be the factor here as the Titans topped the Jags last year at home 30-13, but lost to the Jags 37-17 when the game was in Jacksonville. In the Jags W from last year, Garrard threw for over 300 yards and it was Kerry Collins who threw 2 INTs and Chris Johnson also coughed up the football. If the Titans can protect the football and have their passing D step up, this game should be theirs.

Prediction: Titans 24 – Jaguars 20

Pick Against the Spread: Titans -3 (Confidence: 2/5)