NFL Week 11 Picks

It was an insanely busy week so sorry for the quick write up today.

• CINCINNATI (-5) over Buffalo — 3/5 — The Bengals at home over the Bills.  Easy call here. Bengals have to snap that losing streak at home over a weak Bills team.
• DALLAS (-6.5) over Detroit — 3/5 — Detroit struggled on the road against the Bills. Dallas played inspired last week with Wade Phillips gone.
• Arizona (+9) over KANSAS CITY — 2/5 — Chiefs have been solid at home and the Cardinals have been awful, but this is too many points for me.
• NEW YORK JETS (-6.5) over Houston — 3/5 — Houston 28 PPG allowed. NYJ 16 PPG allowed (13 PPG allowed at home). Public likes the points here though.
• Cleveland (+1.5) over JACKSONVILLE — 3/5 — Can I say it? The Browns are for real? Maybe? Colt McCoy is an absolute stud!
• PITTSBURGH (-8) over Oakland — 2/5 — Don’t like high spreads. Oakland beat Steelers in their house last year. Has to be a revenge game for the Steelers. Steelers need this one to fend off the Ravens and stay on top of the AFC.
• Baltimore (-10) over CAROLINA — 4/5 — I love betting against the Panthers. It’s made me a ton of coin this year. Carolina scores 10 points tops. Baltimore will score at least 21. Despite the high spread, I’ll take my chances betting against them again.
• Green Bay (-3) over MINNESOTA — 4/5 — The Vikings are garbage. Take the Packers.
• TENNESSEE (-7) over Washington — 3/5 — Washington may be due for a rebound, but so are the Titans who lost to the Dolphins last week.
• Atlanta (-3) over ST. LOUIS — 4/5 — Wow! Vegas is quite confident in the Rams. The Rams play good ball at home where they are 4-1. This is a potential trap game, but I’ll take my chances getting trapped. It’s not like the Rams are coming off their bye week. Rams are 7-2 ATS this year. Impressive! Have to stick with the Falcons though.
• Tampa Bay (+3.5) over SAN FRANSISCO — 3/5 — I’ve been loving riding Tampa Bay in the past few weeks so I’ll stick with them with a couple of points on my side. 49ers couldn’t barely beat out the Rams at home, 23-20. If the Niners win, it should be by 3.
• NEW ORLEANS (-11) over Seattle — 2/5 — Saints have covered their last two. Like I said, I’m expecting them to turn it up in the second half of the season. I’m not going to take the high spread though.
• NEW ENGLAND (-3.5) over Indianapolis — 3/5 — I’ll pick the Pats at home coming off an impressive win over the Steelers to improve to 7-2.
• PHILADELPHIA (-3) over New York Giants — 4/5 — I’m an Eagles fan. Any other questions? Vick has to do it against the NFL’s #1 defense though.
• Denver (+10) over SAN DIEGO — 3/5 — I’ll take the points here. This game will see a lot of points with the over/under at 50. Tease Denver +17 with the over 43.

Looks like a decent card. I will continue to bet against the Panthers, so I would look at Ravens -10. I’m confident in my Eagles to come out on top in the Sunday Night game. I also like Green Bay -3 over Minnesota a lot. A lot of people are also jumping all over Falcons -3 over the Rams. It’s a potential trap game, but I’ll take a shot on it. Good luck!