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NFL Week 3 Sunday Final Word

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 25th, 2011 | Comment »

Yesterday my week 4 college football picks went 4-3 ATS. Miami was a huge let down, but the Florida pick got some of that back. On Saturday, I made some game-time decisions which were posted right before kickoff. Of the picks posted, I hit on Georgia Tech (-6.5) over North Carolina, LSU (-6.5) over West Virginia, Florida (-20) over Kentucky, and Clemson (-2.5) over Florida State. I missed on a Notre Dame (-7)/Under 54 parlay, Colorado (+17) over Ohio State, and Miami (-11.5) over Kansas State. I pretty much ended up even on the day, but let’s take a look at the NFL action.

Based on my week 3 picks, you see that I like 5 games on Sunday: San Diego, Detroit, Carolina, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh. At 1:00, I don’t care much for too many of the games. Most are toss ups in my opinion. I think you’re best sticking with Carolina (-3.5) at home over Jacksonville, who is due for their first win. I want to get on Detroit (-3.5) over Minnesota, but I just have that gut feeling that Minnesota is due for a rebound win (or cover) at home. I’m really high on this Detroit team this year.

At 4:00, I like the Chargers (-14.5) despite the high spread. This game should be a blow out just like the Chiefs last two games, but maybe the Cheifs show up this work for the division game and play a hard fought game. If the Chiefs offense can manage just 13 or 14 points, they can cover. However, I’m looking for a 5 TD performance form the Chargers offense to have them cover in comfortable fashion. This is the NFL though, not Florida vs. Kentucky.

If high spreads aren’t your thing, do you take a chance on the Packers (-4) over Bears on the road or go with Falcons (-1) over the Bucs on the road. I don’t want to pick too many road favorites, but I don’t see it any other way.

I’ll be tailgating at the Eagles vs. Giants game. Good luck everyone. Hit me up in the comments and let me know which games you like this Sunday. I’m still torn and have another 4 hours to get my picks in. I’m leaning Panthers (-3.5) over Lions (-3.5). Maybe I’ll just parlay them together and see what happens. Yes, that’s what I’ll do. 3-to-1 odds on two games that I’m pretty confident in. It’s worth a shot. I’ll also take the Panthers (-3) by buying a half point on an individual ticket. Don’t let me down this week Cam after I didn’t buy into the hype until this week. The Jaguars offense is terrible. Cam should get his first win.

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