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Monday Night Pick: Lions Teaser With The Over

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 10th, 2011 | Comment »

Lions vs. Bears Monday Night Pick Against the SpreadA few people have emailed me asking what my pick is for tonight. I hate this game with the spread. I simply don’t see any value in taking the Lions -6.5. In order for me to take the Lions over the Bears, I would like the spread at nothing more than Lions -3.

As you know, I’ve been high on the Lions all season long. Before the season started, I went on record to say that the Lions will make the playoffs. If the Lions were in the NFC East, West, or South, they would quite possibly win the division. Unfortunately, the Packers are in their division preventing them from claiming the division title.

I see the Lions winning tonight’s game by 3-4 points and I’m not going to take the Bears on the road for the sake of taking points since the Lions do stand a strong chance of covering this spread. The Bears defense is too tough for the Lions to give up 6.5.

The over/under is set at a fair 47 points. It’s tough to tell whether you’ll get a shootout or a low-scoring game like these team’s contests last year. Last year these teams battled it out in a 24-20 game and a 19-14 game. The Bears won both games, but we all know that Calvin Johnson catch that TD pass with 0 seconds left that should have given the Lions the victory in the first game.

I don’t like the spread so what I will do is recommend a teaser of Lions +1 and over 40 for tonight’s game.

Prediction: Lions 24 – Bears 20

Pick Against the Spread: Lions +1, Over 40 (Confidence: 3/5)

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