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Sunday Night Pick: Ravens vs. Patriots

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 23rd, 2012 | Comment »

Ravens vs. Patriots Pick Against the SpreadMy Sunday is contingent upon the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Oakland Raiders game. I have a medium-sized play ¬†on the Steelers (-4) over the Raiders and the Steelers are on top 31-21 at the end of the 3rd quarter. It was a mere 7/10 confidence pick as nothing warranted an 8/10 or more on Sunday. I didn’t do much else as I warned that I hated this week! We had 9 home dogs and I had to pick and choose my battles this week. I didn’t like any home favorites and the best road favorite worth taking a shot on, in my opinion, was the Steelers (-4).


Tonight we have a rematch of the AFC Championship. Earlier this week I picked the Ravens and I’m sticking to it. The main two factors for me are that (1) this is a revenge game for the Ravens who should have won the AFC Championship last year; and (2) the Ravens are at home in the lights. The Ravens were 8-0 at home last year.

The Cardinals and Giants have provided a blue print on how to beat the Patriots. Teams that can generate pressure can beat Tom Brady and that’s what the Ravens are able to do. I expect a tight game and a game that should be low scoring. The over/under is set pretty high at 48.5. The Patriots have an improved defense from last year so expect the Ravens to be limited offensively.

I think you can even get fancy here and take a shot with a parlay of Ravens (-2.5)/Under 48.5. You can also tease this game to make the spread Ravens (+4.5)/Under 55.5. This isn’t the best game to bet on, but I’m going to take a shot at the parlay here with a small play which will pay 2.5:1 if it hits.

Who ya got tonight?

  • Baltimore Ravens (100%, 3 Votes)
  • New England Patriots (0%, 0 Votes)

Total Voters: 3

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Prediction: Ravens 24 – Patriots 20

Pick Against the Spread: Ravens -2.5 (Confidence: 5/10)

Over/Under Pick: Under 48.5 (Confidence: 5/10)

Parlay: Ravens -2.5/Under 48.5 (Confidence: 5/10)

Teaser Pick: Ravens +4.5/Under 55.5 (Confidence: 6/10)

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