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Here are some lines that I liked for this week:

Atlanta Falcons @ San Diego Chargers -3 L

St. Louis Rams +8 @ Chicago Bears L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 @ Dallas Cowboys W

San Francisco 49ers -6.5 @ Minnesota Vikings L

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts -3 L

Houston Texans -1.5 @ Denver Broncos W

Good Luck!…

Couldn’t believe some of the lines that I came across this week, here are some of my favorite picks, grabbed them all early:

Virginia @ TCU -17 W

Kansas State +17 @ Oklahoma W

Utah @ Arizona State -3 W

Temple @ Penn State -7 W

South Florida -10 @ Ball State L

Bowling Green +22 @ Virginia Tech L

Fresno State @ Tulsa -5.5 L

GA Tech -7/Southern Miss +11 L

4-4-0
…

We have an AFC West showdown tonight as the San Diego Chargers travel to Kansas City to face off against the Chiefs.  Right now the current line has the Chargers giving Kansas City 3 points, while the over/under hasn’t moved much and sits at 44.5.

First glance has this game looking like blowout with the first place Chargers against the hapless Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chargers are currently at a 4-2 record, but some could say that they are the worst NFL division leader at the current time.  Their only games against good teams came on the road in New York against the Jets as well as in New England against the Pats.  Who have they beat? Well the Minnesota Vikings, Kansas City Chiefs (earlier this year by 3 points), Miami Dolphins, and the Denver Broncos.  None of those were even close to being impressive wins.

Let’s just say the start the Kansas City Chiefs had to the season is one to forget, losing by a combined score of 89-10 in their first two match-ups.  Things turned around though when they traveled to San Diego to face off against the Chargers, only losing by a field goal. Following that week, they rattled off three straight wins and with a win tonight will be tied for first place in the division, crazy to think about.

San Diego isn’t the same San Diego that we have been used to.  The Chiefs are hot and are going to be ready to go tonight playing at home on a Monday Night in a crazy packed stadium.

I have a source on a 17-5-0 ATS run currently who is on Kansas City tonight.

Prediction: Chargers 24 – Chiefs 28

Pick Against the Spread: Chiefs (+3) …

We put the system to the test for the second straight week, this time coming out a tiny bit more successful than the first posting a 4-3-1 ATS record. This is what we have for Week 7, GOOD LUCK!

Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bears 23.18555 – Buccaneers 18.52264

Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers: Redskins 20.93795 – Panthers 18.83872

Seattle Seahawks @ Cleveland Browns: Seahawks 19.56502 – Browns 21.18917

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals: Steelers 21.31028 – Cardinals 16.486

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans: Texans 19.45904 – Titans 21.20014

Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions: Falcons 17.56672 – Lions 32.7658

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders: Chiefs 15.33188 – Raiders 34.61589

St. Louis Rams @ Dallas Cowboys: Rams 10.53784 – Cowboys 29.21914

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings: Packers 32.42156 – Vikings 18.55227

Indianapolis Colts @ New Orleans Saints: Colts 18.76741 – Saints 39.59327

San Diego Chargers @ New York Jets: Chargers 19.96875 – Jets 26.24908

Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins: Broncos 22.71929 – Dolphins 20.63871

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Ravens 28.76889 – Jaguars 9.900965

Plays resulting from scores:

TOP PLAY (off the Vegas line by the most points):

Raiders (-4) L

OTHERS:

Lions (-3.5) L

Panthers (+3) W

Jets (+2.5) W

Cowboys (-11.5) W

Saints (-14) W

Ravens (-8)

Let’s hope for another successful week!…

I did a little bit of research online and found out a way to calculate predicted scores of these NFL games by the week. This system goes off of both teams’ points forced, points allowed, the points forced by all of their opponents thus far, and points allowed by all their opponents this season. You end up getting an offensive and defensive number that tells you whether or not they’re performing up with the league average in offense and defense, therefore spitting out a score for the game. These are what I got for Week 6 along with plays:

Cleveland Browns @ Oakland Raiders: Browns 18.68 – Raiders 30.98

St. Louis Rams @ Green Bay Packers: Rams 11.08 – Packers 40.07

Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots: Cowboys 26.01 – Patriots 34.75

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaguars 8.14 – Steelers 22.42

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons: Panthers 23.90 – Falcons 24.48

Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals: Colts 12.9o – Bengals 30.61

Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants: Bills 35.76 – Giants 26.76

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Saints 32.11 – Buccaneers 21.14

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins: Eagles 17.23 – Redskins 24.19

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens: Texans 16.14 – Ravens 27.87

San Francisco 49ers @ Detroit Lions: 49ers 22.34 – Lions 25.02

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears: Vikings 19.41 – Bears 21.68

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets: Dolphins 17.27 – Jets 27.87

Plays resulting from scores:

Raiders (-6) W

Packers (-14.5) W

Panthers (+5.5) L

Bengals (-7) *UPDATED LINE (-6) W

Bills (+3) P

Saints (-4.5) L

Redskins (+1) *UPDATED LINE (+3) L

Ravens (-6.5) W

4-3-1 overall — BIGGEST PLAY GREEN BAY WINNER

The score that produced that biggest difference from a Vegas …

Here are the games that I LOVE this weekend:

Friday Night Weeknight Guarantee (1-0-0):

Utah State (+7.5) vs. BYU W

Saturday Locks (2-2-0):

Northwestern (+10) vs. Illinois W

Air Force (+3.5) vs. Navy W

Kent State vs. Ohio (-16) L

Auburn vs. South Carolina over 59.5 L

Saturday Normal Plays (1-3-0):

North Carolina vs. East Carolina (+7) L

Nebraska (+10) vs. Wisconsin L

Notre Dame (-12) vs. Purdue W

Baylor (-3.5) vs. Kansas State L

 …

Glad to be back on the football scene, definitely the best time of the year for sports in my opinion.

Brock Osweiler threw for 262 yards with a 71.8 completion percentage in week one.

I am typing this article up at 5:04 pm ET and currently the line we have for this game is Arizona State giving 10 to Missouri. The line opened up at seven and has now bounced to ten. When it was at seven I loved the Arizona State pick, but now that it’s ten, ehhh I think I’m going to lay off betting on the spread. Instead, I see a lock in the under. The obvious reason behind this pick is due to the fact that yes, Missouri did only put up ten points against the MAC Miami Redhawks. Missouri just outgained the Redhawks getting 291 yards of offense compared to Miami’s 270.

Then there are the number of injuries for Arizona State. Cornerback Omar Bolden, linebacker Brandon Magee, and wide receiver T.J. Simpsons are just a few of the key injuries racked up on their sideline. Missouri also has Jacquies Smith and Will Ebner out for them who are two key players.

The under has hit in six of Missouri’s last seven games. The under has hit in four of Missouri’s last five road games. The under has hit in nine of Arizona State’s last eleven non-conference games.

I like the under in this one, seems a lock.

Prediction: Missouri 17 – Arizona State 24

Play: Under 52.5…