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Joey G’s 1:00 Special

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 19th, 2010 | Comment »

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

I hope all of you have been following my picks since Thursday night. I am 3-1-0 ATS since joining this site and hope to make you guys some more money today. How about Vegas and Brandon though absolutely dominating last night? That’s awesome.

I hope you guys have taken a look at my over/under special today for the three NFL games that I liked.

Today though I was looking through the 1:00 games and found one that stuck out to me. I like the Carolina Panthers today against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Last week Carolina was playing right with the New York Giants all game and should have easily covered that spread, until they turned it over five times, not to mention letting Eli throw the ball all over them. There is no way that Carolina is going to allow Tampa Bay to force five turnovers out of them today.

Tampa Bay on the other hand was in jeopardy of losing outright in their opener, but then Jake Delhomme saved their game with his late interceptions and poor decision making.

Not only do I like Carolina in this game, but I like the under as well. Neither team could make it to 20 points last week. Plus the line movement opening at 39 for the total has been dropped down to 38.5 which is an indication that most people already see the under as a possibility. I sense maybe a 17-10 or 20-13 final today with Carolina coming out victorious.

KEYS: Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six, 4-1 ATS at home. Panthers thrive against NFC opponents ATS going 8-1 in their last nine. The under is 8-0 in Tampa Bay’s last 8, and 6-0 in their last six against NFC opponents. Not only do we see under trends for Tampa Bay but also for Carolina. Carolina unders have gone 13-3 in their last 16 at home against a team with a winning record.

Play on Carolina (-3.5) and Under (38.5)

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