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Week 3 Summary: Road Dogs Dominate

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 27th, 2010 | Comment »

Road dogs screwed a lot of people going 7-1 ATS, while the home dogs go 3-4.

Yesterday was rather uneventful. My two “big games” were 1-1. I played the Ravens (-11) and Eagles (-3). Since I split those and hit two out of three from Saturday, I decided to place a small bet on the Sunday Night game just so the day wasn’t so boring coming out as a split. Good thing I kept that play small as I suggested since the Dolphins didn’t get the job done at home as I had anticipated.

Home teams has been my theme throughout the season and a lot of road dogs came out on top this week, going 7-1 ATS. Road dogs who covered this week: Jets, Cowboys, Falcons, Titans, Raiders, Browns, and Bills. 4 outright winners. 7 winners against the spread. Sole road dog that didn’t cover was the Lions (didn’t cover by 1 point). You do not see that often gentlemen.

Thanks to a handful of home dogs, I stayed away from most games just to see how well the home dogs would do this week. Like I said, this week will be our “experimental week.” The home dogs turned out to be 3-4 ATS. I’m sure the books are happy with that since the flood of money that was placed on Redskins, Chargers, and 49ers went to them. I at least warned you about those home dogs so hopefully you averted some losses if you were eying up those teams. I was lucky enough to play the Eagles (-3), who made up for the Ravens not covering the 11 points against the Browns. I was also high on the Bengals and Colts and they also covered against the home dogs.

My picks overall didn’t do too well, but that’s the point of the confidence ratings. I’m sure nobody saw the Rams scoring 30 on the Redskins or the Chiefs scoring 31 on the 49ers. Most of the picks I gave mere 2/5’s on which basically says “don’t bet on it.”  I also said to be weary of high spreads with the Patriots (-14.5) and Ravens (-11). I had to jump on the Ravens (-11) but stayed away from the Pats. Hopefully you took my advice and teased those spreads to Patriots -7.5 and Raven -4 because that was a winner and I definitely plugged that as a strong looking teaser this week.

Overall, we’re up week 3 thanks to a nice Saturday in CFB after hitting a Thursday winner with the Miami/Pitt under. This also coming after having a hell of a week 2. Probably one of the greatest weeks was last week. The Monday Night Play to follow.

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