NFL Picks

Sunday’s picks went 1-1-1 ATS. We hit on the Saints, the Broncos pick pushed thanks to more 4th quarter heroics from Tim Tebow, and our Patriots pick failed to cover by 2 points since the Pats escaped Washington with a 7-point win in what was a shootout. I warned that the Patriots defense would be a liability. There’s no doubt the Pats would outscore the Redskins, but the Pats defense hurt what would have been an awesome Sunday.

Since we are 5-0 ATS in our last 5 Monday Night picks, I have to throw out a pick on tonight’s game although it’s a meaningless game between two awful teams. Who picked out this year’s Monday night games? The game selection has been absolutely horrific. Last week it was the Jaguars game. This week it is the Seahawks game. Come on guys.

ST. LOUIS RAMS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-9)

The 5-7 Seahawks host the 2-10 Rams on Monday Night. The Seahawks have been on  a nice little run winning their last 3 of 4 games and covering the spread in their last 4 of 5 games. The Rams, on the other hand, have been a great target to bet against week in and week out. The Rams are 2-10 ATS matching their season record. With the Rams decimated by injuries and playing terrible against the spread this year, I am going to go with the Seahawks. However, Sam Bradford is expected to return tonight.

With the Rams 11.7 PPG, don’t expect their offense to do much. The Seahawks offense has averaged 18 PPG on the year, but they’ve turned it up lately increasing their PPG average to 24.0 PPG in their last 3 games. Seattle won this contest just three weeks …

I just went back and was looking at my Monday Night picks. We are 5-0 ATS in our last 5 Monday Night picks. Read ’em and weep: Chargers, Saints, Patriots, Packers, and Chiefs.  Boom goes the dynamite! Last week our picks went 4-2 ATS. Taking a look at this week, it’s definitely not as easy as last week, but let’s get into it.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-9) @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS

In the Redskins last 8 games, they are 1-7 (2-6 ATS). I was able to capitalize off them last week when the Jets were one of my top plays. The Redskins are depleted with injuries. LaRon Landy is out, London Fletcher is questionable, Trent Williams is out, and Fred Davis is out. With the Patriots nearly doubling the Redkins in PPG, I’ll take the Pats. The Pats are averaging 30.2 PPG compared to the Redskins 16.8 PPG. The only downside to this pick is the Patriots defense can be a liability (the Colts scored 24 points against them last week). With the AFC race pretty tight and the Pats still vying for a No. 1 or 2 seed, I think you’ll see a focused Patriots team ready to roll. The last time the Patriots faced the Redskins was in 2007 as 15-point favorites and they crushed the Redskins 52-7.

Prediction: Patriots 31 – Redskins 17

Pick Against the Spread: Patriots -9 (Confidence: 4/5)

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3.5) @ TENNESSEE TITANS

You usually see the Saints getting good spreads on the road since they’re 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. I have played the Saints a few times this year and their 8-4 ATS record has rewarded me more than once. Although the …

Yesterday’s picks went 3-2 ATS. I was about to cut myself off after the Panthers pick, but had to throw out a 5th pick in the Cowboys but warned I wasn’t very confident in the play. Since my top-money play was the Ravens, it made for a great week while the Jets and Panthers also chipped in for the winning week.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-3) @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

I’m looking for reasons to go Jags here since they’re at home on Monday night, but I just cannot come up with too many reasons to pick them. The Jaguars are 3-8 and have the league’s worst offense, averaging just 250 yards-per-game and 12.5 PPG. The only argument one could make for the Jaguars, other than being a home dog on Monday night, is that they also happen to beat the Ravens on Monday night on October 24. The Jags won that game 12-7 by pressuring the Ravens, creating turnovers, and getting lucky. I’ll write that one off as a fluke as the Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Monday Night games.

While San Diego has been bad this year and their 4-7 (2-9 ATS) record has turned bettors off from them, I think you’re getting a great spread to take them here. San Diego is averaging 22.6 PPG. If the Chargers win tonight, there’s still room for them to win the AFC West as they’ll be just 2 games behind with 4 more to play. With WR Maclolm Floyd back, Rivers will have another receiver to work with as well. I’m expecting the Chargers 6th-ranked passing offense to get the job done on Monday night, but the Chargers 26th-ranked run defense will keep the Jaguars in the game with …

We are back with our NFL picks for week 13. I don’t like any home teams on this week’s card, which has forced me to pick five road team. That makes me a bit weary — you know that one or two of these road dogs will pull off a surprising upset, but who will it be? Nobody knows yet. I love the Falcons, Ravens, and Jets this week. Here is what I have on tap.

ATLANTA FALCONS (-2.5) @ HOUSTON TEXANS

With the Texans starting quarterback and backup quarterback both on the IR, how does Vegas have the Texans as mere 2.5-point underdogs? The Texans will have to turn to rookie Taylor Yates, their 2011 5th-round selection out of UNC. After coming into the Jaguars game after Leinart got hurt, Yates thew 8/15 for 70 yards to hold onto the 20-10 lead the Texans had. The Texans put up 0 points in the second half. Atlanta has won their last 5 of 6 games, so I like their chances in this one against the Texans 3rd string QB. All eyes will be on Arian Foster and if they can stop him, they should win this game. I’m expecting the Falcons to dominate this game.

Prediction: Falcons 27 – Texans 17

Pick Against the Spread: Falcons -1 (Confidence: 4/5)

NEW YORK JETS (-1) @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Quite a favorable spread as I feel the Jets should be 3.5-point favorites. The line opened at -1 and has since moved to -3 at most books, but you can still find the line at -1 at some outfits.The Redskins have been awful. They just recently snapped a 6-game skid with a win over the Seattle Seahawks last week. The Jets are in the …

We split our Sunday picks going 2-2 ATS after going 2-1 ATS on Thanksgiving. We hit on the Panthers and Falcons, but came up short on the Bengals and Steelers. If the Steelers didn’t fumble the football in the endzone at the beginning of the game, the score could have ended 20-9 instead of 13-9 giving the Steelers the cover. We came out even so no biggie, let’s pick the Monday Night game between the Giants and Saints.

NEW YORK GIANTS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-7.5)

You know I love teasing games on Monday Night. I’m not a fan of Saints -7.5 since the Giants offense can keep pace with Drew Brees. The Giants average about 23 points while the Saints average 31 points, but the Saints 62 points against the Colts inflates that number. Both defenses are giving up 22.8 PPG. Eli Manning outdueled Tom Brady on the road, but has since lost two straight games to the 49ers and Eagles, losing both of those games by a touchdown.

With the Saints undefeated at home, I don’t see them dropping this one, but Manning has the passing attack to keep this one close throughout the game and possibly covering the spread. I think this is a good candidate to take the points, but why bet against the Saints at home? The Saints are 4-0 ATS at home this year covering against the Bucs, Colts, Texans, and Chicago. I hate the Giants since I’m an Eagles fan and don’t have much faith in them on the road in New Orleans, so I’ll tease the Saints to a pick ’em and take a look at the over/under.

Everyone is thinking points in this one. The over/under is coming in at 51, …

Hope everyone had a Happy Thanksgiving. We built up our bank role going 2-1 ATS with our Thanksgiving special thanks to the Packers and Ravens. Here are some quick picks for Sunday. My favorite plays are the Steelers and Panthers and I’ll throw in mediocre picks on the Falcons and Bengals. The spreads are a bit too high to make those quality plays, so you may want to tease them together instead.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ ATLANTA FALCONS (-9.5) 

I love taking the Falcons at home. With Adrian Peterson out, the Vikings offense will struggle to get going while the Falcons should cruise to an easy victory. This is also a good candidate to tease with another game such as the Steelers over the Chiefs or Bengals over the Browns.

Prediction: Falcons 27 – Vikings 17

Pick Against the Spread: Falcons -9.5 (Confidence: 3/5)

CLEVELAND BROWNS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS (-7)

I’m loving the Bengals this year. A.J. Green will be back this week. The Bengals beat the Browns earlier this season 27-17 on the road and I expect a similar outcome.

Prediction: Bengals 24 – Browns 13

Pick Against the Spread: Bengals -7 (Confidence: 3/5)

CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Cam Newton is due for a win. His defense has been the teams Achilles heal though. Hopefully his defense doesn’t let him down again. Points will be easy to come by for the Panthers against one of the worst teams against the run. With the Colts offensive woes, I don’t think the Panthers have to worry about getting outscored here. The Panthers should dominate this game.

Prediction: Panthers 31 – Colts 13

Pick Against the Spread: Panthers -3.5 (Confidence: 4/5)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-10.5) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

We saw how …

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! As readers of the site know, THE PASS RUSH tends to heat up around Thanksgiving time. Last year our Thanksgiving picks went 3-0 ATS to follow up a 4-0 ATS the week before. Last week, we hit all of our picks going 2-0-1 on Sunday and nailing the Monday night game to go 3-0 in our last 3 Monday Night Picks. The last week has positioned us to make a huge run in the last week of November going into Decemeber.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-6) @ DETROIT LIONS

We finally get to see a competitive game on Thanksgiving featuring the Lions. We have the 10-0 Green Bay Packers vs. 7-3 Detroit Lions. I don’t think the Lions have played on Thanksgiving with a winning record in over a decade. With both teams averaging over 30 PPG, I am excited to watch this game. I’m definitely leaning Packers, but I’ve been singing the Lions praises since before the season even started. The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games, while the Lions are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. In the last 10 games between these teams, the Packers are 7-3 ATS. I’m going to go with the better team and the team with a history of winning this matchup, the Green Bay Packers. No doubt that Lions are a much better football team capable of finally beating the Packers, but Aaron Rodgers is just a machine. He will put scoring drive after drive together and keep the Lions offense off the field as best he can. 63% of the money is on the Packers in this one.

Prediction: Packers 31 – Lions 24

Free Pick Against the Spread: Packers -6 (Confidence: 3/5)…