Football Picks Against the Spread

Question: Start/Sit for Week 2: Miller, Bruce at WR/TE?

Another week another start/sit conundrum.

I have Zach Miller (Oakland at Kansas City), Isaac Bruce (San Francisco vs. Seattle), and Earl Bennett (Chicago vs. Pittsburgh) as possible WR/TE flex options. I’m not loving Bennett here, and both Bruce and Miller put on great shows last week, and both have favorable match ups.

Bruce has a lot of experience against the Seattle secondary, and Miller will eat up Kansas City if he gets targeted like he did last week.

Who do I start?

Should I take the gamble and start Jason Campbell against St. Louis over Tony Romo against the Giants (coming off of a career week, and, historically, being strong against NYG)?

Answer:

I would start Miller and Romo. Miller looks to be JaMarcus Russels saftey value (Oakland started two rookie WRs). Don’t even bother with Cambpell. He only had 4 really good games last year (300 yds and/or 2 TDs which gives him a 25% constistancy rating in my book) vs Romo (who had a 75% consistancy rating).…

With all the updates to the site, the NFL week 2 picks against the spread was pushed off the main page.  You can click the link to get an analysis on every game on tap.

My favorite games this week are: TITANS -6.5 over Texans, Vikings -10 over LIONS, and Steelers -3 over CHICAGO.  I would also give some consideration to the Redskins, who could easily blank the Rams again with their superb defense.

HOUSTON TEXANS @ TENNESSEE TITANS -6.5

UPDATE: It will be POURING in the Titans/Texans game and that will affect how this game plays out.  Expect more running and this game will be low scoring, which hurts the Titans chances of covering.  I still see a Titans cover in the area of a 17-9, 17-6, 20-10, 20-13 Titans win.  The Titans are the type of team built for playing in the elements, unlike the Texans.

I am pretty comfortable taking the Titans at home.  I would like them a lot more on a dry field though.  Their defense is superb, their running game is excellent, and Kerry Collins was looking like a legitimate fantasy quarterback last week against a tough Steelers defense.

The Titans have a ton of excellent TEs to work into the game with Bo Scaife (who is unfortunately doubtful this game due to a knee injury), Alge Crumpler, and Jarred Cook.  Justin Gage turned in an excellent performance last week and they have speedster Nate Washington, who they acquired from the Steelers, and rookie big-bodied WR Kenny Britt.  That’s all without mentioning the true star on this team: Chris Johnson.  Tennessee has the weapons to be a Super Bowl contender this season and I think they win big today at home.

88% of the …

Overall Profit/Loss: +0.6 units (back on the plus side with a nice win with Boise State last night).

I know I usually write a decent analysis of the games, but in an effort just to get these up I am posting them without analysis. If you have specific questions about a game please let me know and I will respond.

Michigan State at Notre Dame (-10): The Play ND (-10) 1 unit. Look for ND to rebound after their loss and they play much better at home.

La Lafayette at LSU (-27.5): The Play LSU (-27.5) 2 unit. Too much talent on the LSU in this contest.

UCONN at Baylor (-10): The Play Baylor (-10) 1 unit. Real tough spot for UCONN off last weeks tough loss.

Florida State (+8) at BYU: The Play FSU (+8) 1 unit. If Miami is as good as they looked against GT, maybe FSU is better than most think.

Cincinnati at Oregon State (+1.5) The Play OSU (+1.5) 1 unit. OSU surprises the Bearcats in this spot.

BASEBALL PLAY: KC at White Sox UNDER 9.5 1 unit.…

I just posted up Adrian Peterson’s play of the week.  Despite how impressive that run was, this easily has to be the play of the year.

PLAY OF THE YEAR: BRANDON STOKELY TIP DRILL VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

Renanacted in Tecmo Bowl [With Leather]

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Miami’s Jordan Futch completely lays out Georgia Tech’s Steven Sylvester.

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NFL WEEK 1 PLAY OF THE WEEK: ADRIAN PETERSON VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS

64 yards.  Jim Brown style.

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SIT ‘EM:

1.) LaDanian Tomlinson — Not a good sign for fantasy owners in week 1.  L.T. suffers a bum ankle.  He’ll likely sit out and even if he plays, he’s not worth starting againt the Ravens defense.

2.) Anthony Gonzalez — Could miss up to 8 weeks with a knee injury.  I hope you didn’t reach too high for him.

3.) Donovan McNabb — The Eagles haven’t ruled him out yet, but the cracked ribs may keep him out against the Saints.  Keep an eye on his status.  Kevin Kolb is likely available and could have a big day for the Eagles if he’s asked to play.

4.) Vincent Jackson — Got off to a great start with 56 yards and a TD against the Raiders.  This week he’ll have to face the Ravens and could be shut down.

5.) Pierre Thomas — Will likely continue to sit while Mike Bell gets the carries for the Saints.  In any event, he’ll be facing the Eagles, who don’t give up many yards on the ground.

START ‘EM:

1.) Thomas Jones — The Jets will run the football this season.  With 100 yards and 2 TDs, he’s giving Rex a reason to keep Washington off the field and keeping him on.  With Jerod May for the Pats out, the match up looks favorable.  Pats struggled to contain the Bill’s Fred Jackson last week.

2.) Correll Buckhalther — Will get the majority of Denver’s carries with Knowshon still trying to recovery from an ankle injury (I believe).  He’s at home against the Browns who ranked in the bottom of the league against the run last season and gave up 255 rushing yards to the Bengals last week.

3.) Darren McFadden — McFadden …