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Week 11 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 17th, 2012 | Comment »

Monday Night Pick ATS Giants vs. SaintsHad to do some quick picks this week. Here we go.

BUFFALO BILLS (-2) over Miami Dolphins — Have to go Bills at home. Miami didn’t look too good against the Colts. Reggie Bush was benched and Tannehill struggled.

ATLANTA FALCONS (-10) over Arizona Cardinals — Too many points for me to bite on it, but the Cardinals won’t have the offense so I’ll favor the dirty birds. Teasing Falcons (-3) to pair with another game looks like a strong choice.

Cleveland Browns (+8) over DALLAS COWBOYS — Expect Dallas to win, but the Browns will put up a fight and I think they land a backdoor cover in garbage time.

Green Bay Packers (-3.5) over DETROIT LIONS — Packers dominate this matchup.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3.5) over Kansas City Chiefs — Bengals looked strong at home against the Giants last week. That should continue this week against the Chiefs.

ST. LOUIS RAMS (-3.5) over New York Jets — The Jets are imploding. The Rams nearly beat the 49ers on the road last week and they’ve been strong at home.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-3.5) over Philadelphia Eagles — I’m picking against my Eagles again because they suck and find every way possible to lose games. FIRE ANDY REID!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS — I’ve been thoroughly impressed with the way the Bucs have been playing over the last 5 weeks. The Panthers just don’t have it together.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-15.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars — LOL at the spread, but this should be blowout city.

New Orleans Saints (-5) over OAKLAND RAIDERS — Raiders got rocked by the Ravens because they’re a one-dimensional team with Run DMC and Mike Goodson both out. The Saints should rock the Raiders this week …

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Week 11 – QB – Start or Sit – Matt Schaub or Ryan Fitzpatrick?

Posted by in NFL Week 11 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on November 15th, 2012 | 1 Comment

Question:

Should I start Ryan Fitzpatrick or Matt Schaub. I need a win bad.

Answer:

This one is a no-brainer. Matt Schaub is facing the Jacksonville Jaguars, whose defense is ranked 26th in the NFL and giving up 27.3 PPG. Ryan Fitzpatrick has a matchup against a solid Miami Dolphins defensive unit that gives up just 20.7 PPG. The Texans will have far more opportunities to score than the Bills do this week. The only downside will be if Arian Foster takes most of those touchdowns.…

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Week 10 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 9th, 2012 | Comment »

Week 10 Picks Against the SpreadLast week was a solid week with a 8-1 ATS record after the 1:00 games and a 11-3 ATS record to finish the week. November has historically been my strong month, which makes the rest of the month very exciting. Last week was a good week for the favorites and this week looks like another week for the favorites. My favorite teaser play this week is Patriots (-4)/49ers (-4). Both teams are at home against weak opponents. The same teaser hit for me last week. Broncos, Lions, and Cowboys are my top road favorites.

Indianapolis Colts (-3) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS — Confidence: 7/10 — I look to bet against the Jaguars nearly every week. My only concern as that while Andrew Luck has been phenomenal at home, he’s struggled on the road. However, the Jags are just awful and the Colts should easily win this one.

Denver Broncos (-3.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS — Confidence: 7/10 — Peyton Manning is at the top of his game. If he could pick apart a Bengals defense on the road, he should have no problems finding holes in the Panthers poor defense. I’m confident that he’ll be able to pull off back-to-back road wins.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3) over San Diego Chargers — Confidence: 7/10 — The Bucs have been red hot over the last four weeks as their offense is producing huge numbers thanks to Doug Martin, Mike Williams, and Vincent Jackson. They’ve had a fairly soft schedule in that stretch, so I’m looking forward to how they’ll perform against a team the caliber of the Chargers.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (-6) over Tennessee Titans — Confidence: 6/10 — I’m not crazy about laying the points to take Miami, but they’ve been solid on both …

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Week 10 Picks Coming Soon

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 8th, 2012 | Comment »



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8-1 ATS

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 4th, 2012 | Comment »

Love weeks like this. 8-1 ATS on Sunday. Hit on my Packers/Texans teaser, Lions, and Broncos. Brandon went 4-1 ATS on Saturday. November is typically our month for domination. No big deal.

I’m the man, little did they know….



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Week 9 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 30th, 2012 | Comment »

NFL Week 9 Predictions and PicksMy week 8 was solid. I hit my top play in a teaser with the Patriots/49ers. It was an easy winner. Overall, our picks went 7-7 ATS. Let’s take a look into what week 9 has in store. I’m not crazy about any particular spread as I’ll come out merely recommending a teaser with Chargers (-1)/Packers (-3) and Packers (-3)/Texans (-3). A few road favorites like the Lions (-3.5) or Broncos (-3.5) also look tempting.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-8) over Kansas City Chiefs — Confidence: 6/10 — When these teams faced each other earlier this season, the Chargers absolutely dominated the Chiefs in Kansas City. Now the game will be played in San Diego. Based on the previous game, most people would be confident laying the points and taking the Chargers at home. However, I’m not so impressed with this Chargers team that has lost three straight games (@ NO, vs. DEN, @ CLE). Most division games will be close. However, the Chiefs are in shambles and will likely get destroyed just like their previous contest. Teasing this spread down to Chargers (-1) to pair with another game looks like the choice to make in this one.

Carolina Panthers (+3) over WASHINGTON REDSKINS — Confidence: 6/10 — What a game this will be when Cam Newton squares off against Robert Griffin III. Newton continues to suffer heartache after heartache as his defense lets him down every single week. If the weather clears up, this looks to be a shootout as both teams are at the mercy of their defenses. I believe the Panthers losing streak comes to an end this week as Cam will get the victory.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-10) over Arizona Cardinals — Confidence: 6/10 — The Packers …

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Week 8 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 27th, 2012 | Comment »

Week 8 Predictions Against the SpreadLast week our picks went 8-5 ATS. If not for a half-point miss by the Bears due a late garbage TD, it could have put us at 9-4 ATS and made for a very strong week. There’s plenty of games to dissect this week and lots of opportunities to tease lines to where I like them. Patriots/49ers looks like a solid teaser, as well as Redskins (+11.5)/Under 53 @ Pittsburgh where it should be raining on Sunday.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-14.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars — Confidence: 7/10 — I’m going to avoid this game due to the high spread, but I’ll have to take the Packers here with the Jags non-existent offense and Maurice Jones-Drew out. I don’t see how the Jags score 10 points, while the Packers should easily put up 24+. Packers (-7.5) may be worth throwing into a teaser as the Packers should have that cover wrapped up easily by the 3rd quarter.

NEW YORK JETS (-1) over Miami Dolphins — Confidence: 7/10 — The Jets bested the Dolphins earlier this season in Miami. It was a tight game. The Jets have been playing better football over the last three weeks, nearly beating the Patriots on the road last week, destroying the Colts at home, and hanging in there with the Texans. I like the Jets to take this one at home.

San Diego Chargers (-3) over CLEVELAND BROWNS — Confidence: 6/10 — I have to take the Chargers here, but this is potentially a trap game. Vegas has been giving the Browns lines that indicates that they believe they are a much stronger team than their 1-6 SU record indicates. The Browns are 3-3-1 ATS. Their first win came via a 34-24 home win over the …

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