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SMART BET Week 4 College Picks

Posted by in College Football on September 20th, 2013 | Comment »

A tough loss last week with Alabama. Games can so easily go from a runaway easy win to a loss in a heartbeat. Alabama was going in for the score to go up 21 with just over three minutes left, they fumble on the two yard line, and A&M drives 90+ yards for the TD and cover. Not the worse beat of all time, but tough to be that close and walk away a loser with your top bet.

The overall college football card is filled with some  huge favorites including Louisville -42, Alabama -39, UCLA -43, Miami-FL -59, Florida State -40, Ohio State -50, Virginia -45, and Washington -49. I do not see any value in those games. You potentially could have let down spots with Alabama, UCLA, and Ohio State off solid wins, but their opponents are so weak it would still be a stretch to lay money against any of those teams.

University of Louisiana-Lafayette (-6) vs. Akron. Incredibly tough spot for Akron off the loss to Michigan, in which, they should have won easily. Despite having many opportunities to win they had the ball within the 10 yard line and failed to score as time expired on their final play. Akron played the game of their life last Saturday and will be called to match that effort again as they take on a very solid UL-Laf squad. UL-Laf put forth strong efforts in their first two affairs suffering road losses to Arkansas and Kansas State. Last week they finally played a team more their caliber and won 70-7. One key spot play is to play  against a team coming off a heart-breaking loss, even better when you have a team like Akron that will struggle to repeat that performance. Most bettors will be itching to get to the window the next weekend to lay some money on that team, inflating the line and giving the SMART bettor a great value play. This line opened as high as -8, in some places, and has worked its way all the way down to -6. To me it doesn’t get better than that. You get the much better team in UL-Laf, a valued number, as I believe they may have been favored by as much as 10 points had Akron been easily beat last week, and you get an inexperienced Akron team having to rebound off a very tough loss. Lay on the points with UL-Laf for 2 units.

Good Luck.



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