Football Picks Against the Spread

I hope you were able to take down UCONN -13.5 earlier today.  We’ve now extended our winning streak to 11-0.

Right now Florida vs. Florida State is underway. Brandon has FSU at +24.5, I have them at +32/Over 49. So far Florida has a 10-0 lead going into the 2nd quarter.  I’ll need the pace to pick up to get that over, but there’s still a lot of football left to play.

Tonight, I am on board with the teasers of Georgia Tech -0.5/Over 50 and Navy -2.5/Under 61.5.

Brandon has added 3 more picks:

1.) Arizona at Arizona State (+3.5) for 1 unit. (W)

2.) New Mexico Sate (+11) at San Jose State for 1 unit. (W)

3.) Utah State at Idaho (-3) for 1 unit. (L)

Good luck!…

It’s no secret how much I love watching Brandon Marshall. I took advantage of the offseason turmoil and was able to pick him up in my fantasy league during a late round and what a steal he’s been. Enjoy the circus like catches here, including multiple one-handed grabs.

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So far in college football, I like picking out a single game to take per time slot, and I’ve been rolling (10-0 in my last 10).  In college football alone, we were 1/1 on Thursday and 4/4 on Friday! Here’s what I like for Saturday:

Tomorrow, I like this schedule:

12:00 — UCONN -13.5 over Syracuse — (W) — The streak continues to 11-0!

3:35 — Teaser: FSU +32, Over 49 over Florida — (L) — “Ya coulda had ’em Mav, you coulda had ’em.” FSU left a few points off the board that could have had the over hit with the +32. Feeling good about GT.

8:05 — Teaser: Georgia Tech -0.5, Over 50 over Georgia — (L) — Of course QB Nesbitt gets injured in the 1st quarter. Fortunately, comes back into the game, but not anywhere close to being 100%. While he’s out, his backup throws an INT that leads to 7 by Georgia. GT had a chance to win the game down by 6 with 3 minutes left, but a dropped ball on 4th down ends the game for them.

10:35 — Teaser: Navy -2.5 Under 61.5 over Hawaii — (L) — We had a hell of a run, but had to give some of it back. Should have been at least 2-2 today, but the GT game was a bad beat due to Nesbitt’s injury and FSU game was close, just needed a FG and it didn’t matter what team it was.

Brandon has more Week 13 college plays

Here’s a look at week 12 in the NFL

My favorite play Sunday — Teaser: Chargers -6.5, Vikings -3.5 — (W)

Only spread that I like straight up: Miami -3 over Buffalo.

There’s tons …

THE PASS RUSH: TAILGATE TESTED, TAILGATE APPROVED!

10-0 in my last 10 picks. Let me boast about it while you guys boost my ego in the comments section after my morale was busted after 2 poor weeks in the NFL.

If you guys wanted a rebound, you got one! I told you that I would not let 2 subpar weeks in the NFL get me down.  We are up BIG on the season, really BIG. We built up a bankroll, gave a nominal amount back in the past two weeks, but we fought back and got even higher than where we were just 3 weeks ago.

I mixed it up a bit, started doing some teasers, and it’s been working like a charm, and more importantly, I’ve gotten back to college football where there are more games to pick and EASIER games to win, especially at this point in the season when you can really get a good read on a team. In the NFL, anything can happen and it usually does, but in college football, you can do much better against the spread overall despite the occasional upset that leaves you puzzled.  That’s just because the disparity between teams in the NFL are much smaller than the disparity in college football and when you can spot that, you can make a killing (e.g.: Rutgers -3 over Louisville).

The teasers have just been money lately.  If you took my Pitt teaser per my recommendation, it saved your ass since you had Pitt +7 and WVU escaped with the W by a field goal. The under 55 in that one was practically a lock, so why not add the points to a spread that’s on the bubble?Even the under 48 …

We had a solid amazing Thursday, we had a solid incredible Friday, and now we’re turning to see what’s on tap tomorrow.  I like UCONN -13.5 tomorrow, but another game that is jumping out to me is Georgia vs. Georgia Tech -7.5.

WEEKLY RECAP: Hit 3 teasers on Thursday (GB/UNDER, DAL/UNDER, GB/DAL), hit Brandon’s Thanksgiving Special (Texas A&M +21), hit Rutgers -3 at 11:00, hit Brandon’s Game of the Year #4 at 2:30 (Auburn +10), hit 7:00 teaser (PITT +7/UNDER), and now looking to add another W with Boise State -6.5, over 63 at 10:00. I’m 7-0 in my last 7 games since Thanksgiving.  Seven and O! The teasers have been working like a charm.

I just can’t get enough football during the long Thanksgiving weekend. Can you tell with the full write ups?

GEORGIA BULLDOGS @ GEORGIA TECH BULLDOGS -7.5

I’ve been eying up this game all week and Georgia Tech -7.5 is just screaming out at me. Why do I like Georgia Tech so much? Their QB Josh Nesbitt is probably the best running QB in the NCAA right now with 1,418 passing yards, 8 passing TDs, 847 rushing yards, and 14 TDs. GT is also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 game and I’ve been riding them throughout that streak.

GT (7-1) is facing a 5-4 Georgia team that averages 27.5 PPG and allows 26.6 PPG, compared to GT’s 36 PPG and 23.5 PPG allowed.  GT’s offense averages just about 100 more yards of offense per game.  Although Georgia just gives up an average of 327 yards per game overall, they’ve been awful on the road, surrendering 390 yards per game and 30 PPG. I like Georgia Tech in this one since Georgia will give up a …

Not only was Thursday a hell of a day, but we’ve gotten off to a great start again today.  We started off at 11:00 with a Rutgers pick that set the table for the rest of the day.  Rutgers cruised over Louisville 34-13 and we only had to give up 3 points.  I hope you capitalized off that pick. STAMP!

Then Brandon’s Game of the Year #4 hit, boosting his “game of the year” record to 3-1.  I was stunned myself when I saw that as his game of the year, but he gave me a hell of an explanation, so I didn’t second guess his judgment and jumped on Auburn +10 parlayed with the under in that game, which pushed, but I still got to take down the Auburn +10.  After the 11:00 game, we hit the 2:30 game. STAMP!

At the 7:00 spot we have Pittsburgh at WVU.  I’m making a small play on a teaser of Pitt +7 and the Under 55.  I’m expecting a tight defensive game.  I don’t want to make it too big with Pitt on the road, but I think they come out on top in this one.  STAMP!

Following the 7:00 game, we have Boise State and Nevada kicking off at 10:00.  Let’s get to the pick.

NEVADA WOLFPACK @ BOISE STATE BRONCOS -13.5

The over/under for this one is set at 70, so like any Boise State game, expect to see a lot of scoring. Boise averaged 44 PPG, while Nevada averages 41 PPG. Boise State gives up 17.3 PPG, while Nevada gives up 25.6 PPG.

Nevada’s offense has been utterly ridiculous all season long. They’re averaging 534 yards per game, more than 70 yards per game than Boise’s average of …

PITTSBURGH PANTHERS @ WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS

Tonight we are treated to the Backyard Brawl at 7:00 on ESPN.  Pittsburgh seeks to get their 10th win of the season and secure a spot in a BCS Standings if they are able to get a win.  A lot of people like the Panthers in this one due to the low spread and I think that is the play to make in this one, but I’m always hesitant to bet on the road team in a big rivalry game.  That’s mostly because I attended this game in 2003 when WVU waxed Pitt 54-31.  2003 was a long time ago though!  Pittsburgh has won this battle the last two years.  Last year they won the game in Pittsburgh 19-15 and the year before that Pitt won 13-9 when it was played in West Virginia.  That is probably why so many people like the under 48.5 in this game.

Both teams bread and butter is their running game.  That is how they win football games.  However, on the other side of the ball, each of these team’s strength is their rushing defense.  Due to that factor, I think you’ll see a lot of stops on third down, which will lead to more punting and less scoring, which makes the under 48.5 looks like the play to make there.  Both of these teams can score though.  Pitt averages 33.8 PPG and WVU averages 27.6 PPG, which is why you’re seeing a high over/under for this game.  The defenses allow a combined 38.2 points though.  Pitts gives up an average of 17.6 PPG, while WVU gives up an average of 21.2.  Each of these teams’ last two games have gone under.  6/9 of Pitt’s games have …