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Bears vs. Packers Sunday Night Play

Posted by in NFL General on September 13th, 2009 | Comment »

The line on the Bears/Packers game has moved to Bears +5.  I don’t love either team with the spread in this one.  The Packers could either run it up if Rodgers comes out with his A game, but the Bears also have one of the best defenses in the league and could cause Rodgers to struggle and force some punts.

On the other hand, I’m not expecting much from the Bears on the road.  Maybe 17-20 points max and possibly 13-16 points.  I put the Packers at about 20-24 points, maybe 27 max.  Odds are this game is something in the ballpark of Packers 24-17.  Maybe Packers 20-17.  I think it’s going to be a tight game due to two solid defenses.  I see a slow start from teams that will feel each other out.  Odds are this game starts slow, the only question is if Cutler and Rodgers end hot.

I still think the defenses dominate this game, so the spread on this game is a toss up.  I really like the under 46.5 and I also think the Packers win by about a TD.  I see around 40 points being scored in this game.  I would be surprised if this ends in 47 points.  A 27-20 game seems a little out of reach.  As things stand right now, under 46.5 is my play on this game tonight.

Prediction: Packers 24 – Bears 17

Free Pick: Under 46.5 (Confidence: 3/5), Packers -5 (Confidence: 2/5)

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