Rutgers vs. Louisville Pick
Posted by Vegas Martin in College Football Picks on November 27th, 2009 | 1 CommentRUTGERS SCARLETT KNIGHTS -3 @ LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
We start football today at 11:00 and the game that I’ve been eying up all week is Rutgers -3. The spread is so low, it made me question whether this is a trap game. The spread is low because their stud WR Tim Brown is questionable and their kicker is also out (could affect some field goals and field position, which is kind of a big deal).
Rutgers also lost last week to a weak Syracuse team 31-13. As Lucky Lester likes to point out, the theme of the year is that solid teams usually bounce back after a poor performance. I have faith in Tom Savage and that Rutgers running attack against a 4-7 team that gives up an average of 25.5 PPG and scores just 18.5 PPG.
Rutgers blanked South Florida 31-0 prior to the Syracuse loss, they beat a solid UCONN team, they beat up on Maryland, and they hung in their with #10 Pittsburgh. Louisville isn’t even close to good. They haven’t beaten any quality teams and their sole division win comes by a 10-9 victory over Syracuse. The Louisville D has a hard time stopping anyone. They gave up 34 to South Florida, 41 to Cincinnatti, 35 to Pittsburgh, and 38 to UCONN. Their offense hasn’t really shown up either.
If WR Tim Brown is out, I expect this one to be fairly close throughout the game, but I’m on board with Rutgers. I would bank on a rebound by Rutgers and I look to take advantage of a low spread.
Prediction: Rutgers 24 – Louisville 17
Free Pick: Rutgers -3 (Confidence: 2.5/5) (W)
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Woo. Another big win to keep the steak going. I hope you guys were able to grab this pick before the early kickoff. I posted it on my comments on Brandon’s college picks on Wednesday, mentioned it again last night in my Thursday summary, but didn’t get to post the in-depth pick until 20 minutes before kickoff.
I’m thinking about rolling those winnings into PITT +7, Under 55. I also decided to take Brandon’s game of the year after seeing how Texas A&M played out and will parlay that with the under 47 in that game for a small bet.