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What’s good at 4:00?

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 26th, 2010 | Comment »
Vick vs. Jaguars

Can Vick lead the Eagles past the Jags?

The Ravens pick didn’t go as well as it did in my head. It was looking good when the Ravens jumped out to a 14-3 lead thanks to 2 Anquan Boldin TDs, but then the Ravens offense failed them. They couldn’t convert some key 3rd downs and the Browns got the ball and put some nice drives together despite the losses of Delhomme, Jerome Harrison, and Robiskie.

Cleveland didn’t turn over the ball as I thought they would and they controlled the clock. Like I said, be weary of high spreads, but I wasn’t going to take any road teams after their disastrous start to the season. Didn’t think the Browns offense could handle the Ravens D, especially without some key players, and thought the Browns horrendous D would show up once again on the road.

With the Ravens up 21-17, there’s a still a shot at covering with 9 minutes left, but they need a TD for the push. Time for that turnover that’s due. Wallace fumbles, but recovers at CLE’s 3 to set up a 3rd and 28, so there is still a shot here.

All 1:00 games seamed to play out as a 50/50 percent chance of either team covering. Only clear winner was Steelers over Bucs. Kansas City also dominated their game against San Fransisco, leading 24-3 in the 3rd. There’s no way anyone thought the Chiefs could put up 24 points against the Niners. No one. As I said, if the Chiefs come out on top, you know just how big the home-dog factor has played out this season, but the Steelers came out on top against the home dog Bucs. Gauging what will happen on Sunday in the NFL is often ridiculous. College games are definitely where it is at.

At 4:00 there are several home dogs playing so we’ll see just how clutch the home dogs are. The Chiefs already supported the trend, but the Bucs did not. I like all the road favorites in the 4:00 games unfortunately, but I’m not sure any are worth my money. I would say the Eagles (-3) is your best call, but this is coming from an Eagles fan who is going to be completely bias.

Dubious line movement in the SD/SEA game. San Diego came out as at (-5.5). Line is now at Chargers (-3.5). The public is pounding the Chargers, but the line moves the other way. Shows that the books are liking Seattle. I’m curious to see how that plays out.

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