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Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction and Pick Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 25th, 2010 | Comment »
Giants vs. Cowboys Pick

A must-win situation has me favoring the Cowboys.

It was a strong week for yours truly. I was giving out ridiculous calls that were likely met with laughs. Although they were only 1/5 calls, I did state that Oakland +8 and Cleveland +13 would be winners. I was also very high on Atlanta -3.5, St. Louis +2.5, Washington +3, and New England +3, which were all winners as well. The record so far this week was 8-5 so we’re already coming out on top. I was forced to pick the Eagles which adds a loss to the loss column, but they had the Titans until their 4th quarter melt down.


We are treated to a classic NFC East rivalry tonight. The 1-4 Cowboys desperately need to win this one against the 4-2 Giants or they can pretty much kiss their season goodbye. Based solely on the fact that this is a “must win” game is a good enough reason for me to pick the Cowboys in this spot. If it wasn’t for the intangible “must win” factor, I would say take the Giants. Their defense has finally come alive and they’ve been on a roll. However, with the Cowboys at home on Monday Night and Wade Phillips on the hot seat, I’m confident the Cowboys will come out winning by 3-7 points.

Perhaps the over is a play to entertain as well with the over/under set at 45. Both teams are scoring and giving up an average of 20 points give or take a few points. However, head-to-head, the over is 6-2-1 in these teams last 9 meetings. The Giants have gone over in 9 of their last 10 against the NFC. The over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 on turf. The over is also 7-3-1 in the Cowboys last 11 on Monday Night. Last year when the game was in Dallas, the final score was 33-31 Giants. I’m sure you’ll see both teams score 20+ so I like the over 45, but you may get one of their weird low-scoring NFC East tussles.

As far as predicting the winner, the public is split 50/50 and I’m also torn. Momentum and stats perhaps favor the Giants, but home field and a “must win” situation tilts the needle in favor of the Cowboys. Expect a tough, hard-hitting game that comes down to the wire. I’m not anticipating either team dominating the game. Straight up I like the Cowboys, but the -3.5 spread makes it difficult since this one should be close. As for tonight’s pick, I’ll have to tease this one with the over for some extra insurance.

Prediction: Cowboys 27 – Giants 24

Pick Against the Spread: Cowboys +3.5, Over 38 (Confidence: 2/5) * You just never know what you’re going to get when these two teams square off.

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