College Football Week 4 Picks Against the Spread

Posted by Vegas Martin in College Football Picks on September 23rd, 2011 | Comment »

CFB Week 4 Picks Against the Spread My college football mojo is starting to kick in. After a 3-2 ATS week in week 2, I had a strong week in week 3 with a 4-1 ATS record. I’ve been riding Stanford the entire season and have hit on them 3 straight weeks. However, Stanford isn’t playing this week. They’ll be back on October 1 against UCLA and I’ll be happy to give up 14-17 points to take them. Let’s see what’s on tap for week 4.

After scanning the games, there’s not a whole lot of games that I really like. Last week, I liked a handful of games, especially Wisconsin and Stanford. I just don’t see many games that I want to jump on this week. I just have two picks for the time being: Florida and Miami. Miami would be my top play, followed by a potentially small play on Florida.

Florida (-19.5) over KENTUCKY — The spread is too high for me to take, but Florida has blown out Kentucky the last three years: 48-14, 41-7, 63-5. Florida is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 on the road. Florida should win by 3 touchdowns in my opinion.

MIAMI (-12.5) over Kansas State — Miami looked excellent against Ohio State last week. Lamar Miller is going to have a big season. Look for him to have a big game against this Kansas State defense. Kansas State was awful against the run last season, giving up 5.9 yards-per-carry and 229.1 yards-per-game. Miller tore apart Ohio State’s defense and I think he’ll have another incredible performance. He’s averaging 6.9 YPC and 151.5 YPG this season. Some are calling a Miami let down after last week’s “emotional” win, but I don’t see it happening.

SATURDAY MORNING UPDATE:

Might nibble on some noon action. Just two small plays. Nothing crazy.

GEORGIA TECH (-6.5) over North Carolina — GT has a great running game and should top UNC at home.

Notre Dame (-7)/Under 54 Parlay over PITTSBURGH — I see a low-scoring affair where ND wins by 10.

For the 3:30 action, here’s what I’m looking at.

CLEMSON (-1.5) over Florida State — Florida State will turn to a freshmen QB to replace the injured Manual. Although FSU has a tough defense, Clemson’s offense has been remarkable. I’ll go with the home team in this one.

Colorado (+17) over OHIO STATE — Could be a good opportunity to take points.

Tonight’s action.

LSU (-6) over WEST VIRGINIA — You just have to go LSU tonight.