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Monday Night Pick: Seahawks vs. Rams

Posted by in NFL Picks on December 12th, 2011 | Comment »

Monday Night Pick Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis RamsSunday’s picks went 1-1-1 ATS. We hit on the Saints, the Broncos pick pushed thanks to more 4th quarter heroics from Tim Tebow, and our Patriots pick failed to cover by 2 points since the Pats escaped Washington with a 7-point win in what was a shootout. I warned that the Patriots defense would be a liability. There’s no doubt the Pats would outscore the Redskins, but the Pats defense hurt what would have been an awesome Sunday.

Since we are 5-0 ATS in our last 5 Monday Night picks, I have to throw out a pick on tonight’s game although it’s a meaningless game between two awful teams. Who picked out this year’s Monday night games? The game selection has been absolutely horrific. Last week it was the Jaguars game. This week it is the Seahawks game. Come on guys.


The 5-7 Seahawks host the 2-10 Rams on Monday Night. The Seahawks have been on  a nice little run winning their last 3 of 4 games and covering the spread in their last 4 of 5 games. The Rams, on the other hand, have been a great target to bet against week in and week out. The Rams are 2-10 ATS matching their season record. With the Rams decimated by injuries and playing terrible against the spread this year, I am going to go with the Seahawks. However, Sam Bradford is expected to return tonight.

With the Rams 11.7 PPG, don’t expect their offense to do much. The Seahawks offense has averaged 18 PPG on the year, but they’ve turned it up lately increasing their PPG average to 24.0 PPG in their last 3 games. Seattle won this contest just three weeks ago in St. Louis 24-7. I’m expecting a similar outcome when this one is played up in Seattle.

The 9-point spread is a bit too much to take with the Seahawks, but with how bad the Rams have been on both sides of the ball, I still think you see the Seahawks win by double digits. I usually like to tease Monday Night games with the over/under, but with the over/under at 38, this one could go either way. The Rams offense may struggle to find points and while over 31 looks enticing since it’s such a low number, a 20-10 Seahawks win is within the realm of possibilities and I could equally see a 27-20 game so teasing the game to under 45 is equally not as enticing. I say stick with the Seahawks and give up the points, but don’t go all out.

Prediction: Seahawks 24 – Rams 13

Pick Against the Spread: Seahawks -9 (Confidence: 3/5)

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