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NFL Week 15 Picks Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on December 17th, 2011 | 1 Comment

NFL Week 15 Picks Against the SpreadWe have now hit our last 6 Monday Night Picks! The season is winding up and teams are jocking for playoff positions. Fantasy football playoffs are in full gear. Let’s see what’s on this week’s card.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ NEW YORK GIANTS (-6.5)

Don’t let the Redskins shootout against the Patriots last week fool you. The Redskins offense isn’t that good. The Patriots defense is just that bad. With all of the injuries to the Redskins defense, Tom Brady took advantage and posted 34 points. I expect Eli Manning to pick apart the Redskins secondary this game while the Giants defense limits the Redskins offensively. Last December when the Giants played the Redskins at home, they won 31-7 as 7-point favorites. I’m expecting a similar outcome, but a bit tighter. This is essentially a playoff game as the Giants and Cowboys are both on top of the division at 7-6 and you can expect the Cowboys to defeat the Bucs on Saturday Night.

Prediction: Giants 27 – Redskins 13

Pick Against the Spread: Giants -6.5 (Confidence: 3/5)


CINCINNATI BENGALS (-6) @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

I’m always looking to bet against the Rams. I have bet against them several times this year with great successs, although the Rams did burn me once when they upset the Saints at home. With the Rams 2-11 ATS record, there hasn’t been a better team to bet against this year. I was riding the Bengals earlier this season, but not lately with their tough schedule in their last 5 games. They have been on a rough five-game stretch going 1-4 (0-4-1 ATS), but their schedule has been brutal (Houston, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh twice). When they faced the Browns on the road, the Bengals cost me as they won 23-20. That was a division game though. My worry is that the Bengals rarely win by double digits.¬†However, earlier in the season, the Bengals topped the Jaguars, Colts, and Seahawks all by more than 10 and the Rams are just as bad as those teams. The Bengals are averaging 10 PPG more than than Rams and their defense gives up 5 PPG less than the Rams defense. Sam Bradford is also doubtful and may miss this game. With Bradford out, the Rams will have to rely on a banged up Steven Jackson who will be facing a tough Bengals run defense. Chris Long is also questionable and is another Rams player on the long list of injured Rams.

Prediction: Bengals 24 – Rams 13

Pick Against the Spread: Bengals -6 (Confidence: 3/5)


TENNESSEE TITANS (-6.5) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

I hate taking another road game, but I have had a lot of success picking road favorites this year against the spread. Although the Colts are winless, they are 4-9 ATS so they have been the spoiler a few times against the spread. They’re averaging only 14 PPG, so I don’t expect them to score much as the Titans are playing great defense. The Titans have faced a lot of good offenses lately and they have not given up more than 24 points since facing Houston back in October. They held the Saints to 22, the Bills to 17, the Bucs to 17, the Falcons to 23, the Panthers to 3, and the Bengals to 24. Assuming you get another solid performance out of the Titans defense and expect ¬†Chris Johnson to run all over the Colts 30th ranked run defense, the Titans should cover the spread. Although Chris Johnson has dissappointed fans and fantasy owners, he has over 150 rushing yards in 2 of his last 3 games against the Bucs and Bills.

Prediction: Titans 27 – Colts 13

Pick Against the Spread: Titans -6.5 (Confidence: 3/5)


BONUS TEASER: GREEN BAY PACKERS (-6.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS w/ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (PK) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS



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