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SMART BET BOWL PREDICTIONS

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on December 18th, 2009 | 6 Comments

Great to be back! Bowl games are a great opportunity to make a ton of cash as there are a ton of live dogs to be played.

I will have a write for probably all of the bowl games and recommendations.

Wyoming vs Fresno State (-11): for 1 unit. – This Fresno State has played a brutal schedule playing some of the toughest teams in the nation including Cincinnati, Boise State, and a strong Wisconsin team. However, they did lose all three of those games. Plus you factor in the travel schedule and they went from Cincinnati to Hawaii, which had to be grueling on this squad. I think the time off will be a real difference here for Fresno State. Down the stretch this team just looked tired. I love that they have had a couple weeks to rest and get focused for the Bowl game. Another important factor is that most of Fresno State’s players have been in a bowl game before so they will be ready for the media and extra hype and attention that comes with playing in these games. Wyoming is probably one the best college stories of the year. The way they got things turned around and are now in a bowl game is huge. However, that could be their downfall. They may just be happy to be there instead of ready to play one of the best opponents they have played all year long. Wyoming has also been burned by the run all year long and Fresno State has run the ball very well against almost everyone they have played. Lay the points here with Fresno State as they win going away 44-24. I also recommend playing the OVER. L for 1.1 units

Central Florida (+3) vs Rutgers for 1 unit. Important to note that this game is being played only 2 hours away from the Central Florida campus so look for the Golden Knights to have some homefield advantage. Rutgers has been a strong squad, but I just see a real let down factor here. With three games to go Rutgers looked to be gearing up for a run at a lot bigger bowl game then they are playing in now, but after dropping 2 of their last 3 they are playing in a game that I feel will be difficult for them to be that excited about. Central Florida has the ability to cause turnovers as well and that will be the difference in this game. Rutgers freshman QB has been prone to interceptions and the CBs from Central Florida should be able to come up with a couple picks as Rutgers really struggled down the stretch. Take the points with Central Florida as they get the win outright. L for 1.1 unit

3) Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Miss (-3.5) for 2 units. My source of power ratings have Southern Miss favored by 7 to 10 points so I think this line is very low. MTST finished the season playing great football, winning and covering their last six. However, not one of those teams is playing in a bowl game. On the other, Southern Miss went 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS and 5 of those 6 teams are playing in bowl games. Therefore strength of schedule alone makes Southern Miss a strong play. This game does come down to QB play though. Both are stepping up in class in this effort as Young will face the Sun Belt’s top defense in MTST, but he has handled himself well only throwing one interception in196 passes and is completing well over 50% of his passes. Dasher averages almost 300 yards in total offense a game, so it is of utmost importance that Southern Miss finds a way to contain him. If they do then they win this game easily. Lay the points with Southern Miss as they win 31-17. L for 2.2 units

4) BYU (+2.5) vs Oregon State for 1 unit. I honestly believe this will be the best bowl game of the year. You have two great offenses that should both put up a bunch of points. Both of these QBs have had outstanding years. Max Hall should be able to consistently hookup with his tight end Pitta, plus they have a balanced running game as Unga ran for over 1,000 yards this year. The key loss of CB Tim Clark will allow BYU to really attack that secondary. The key to this game will be BYU’s ability to prevent the big play by OSU either on special teams or through the air on offense. Secondly, despite OSU’s team saying differently, you have to question their motivation for this game. After losing to Oregon and losing out on the chance to play in a BCS bowl game, and now playing in a meaningless bowl before Christmas. BYU has been to this same bowl game for the past four years and return here to Las Vegas after a disappointing loss last year against Arizona. While this may not have been the bowl the were thinking of originally when the season began you have to believe they have some unfinished business to resolve from last year. I think BYU has a great chance of winning this game outright. W for 1 unit

5) SMU vs Nevada UNDER 72.5 for 1 unit. W for 1 unit

6) Marshall vs Ohio (-3) for 1 unit L for 1.1 units

7) Pittsburgh vs North Carolina (+2.5) for 1 unit W for 1 unit

8) USC vs Boston College (+7.5) for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

9) Air Force (+4.5) vs Houston for 2 units. GET THIS EARLY THE LINE WILL MOVE IN FAVOR OF AF.

10) Texas A&M vs Georgia OVER 66.5 for 1 unit. Neither of these teams have play defense very well especially A&M, which has really struggled playing D on the road, almost 500 yards per contest on the road. As bad as their D has been the offense has almost been equally as talented, going for almost 400 yards a contest and 30 points. Look for both of these offenses to come to play tonight. I just don’t see, no matter how well these defenses play, the defenses being able to control these balanced and talented offenses. Play the OVER. Recommended play on Georgia -6.5. L for 1.1 units

11) UCLA vs Temple (+4) for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

12) Wisconsin (+3) vs Miami FL for 1 unit. W for 1 unit

13) Bowling Green (-2) vs Idaho for 2 units.

14) Nebraska (PK) vs Arizona for 1 unit.

15) Navy vs Missouri (-6.5) for 1 unit.

16) Bowling Green/Idaho UNDER 68 for 1 unit.

17) Nebraska/Arizona OVER 40 for 1 unit.

More picks posted later.

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SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on December 3rd, 2009 | 2 Comments

Overall Profit 4.7 units

Where has this college football season gone? We have had our share of winners and losers and our share of hot streaks and cold streaks. Last week I put you on two huge winners with Auburn and Connecticut and several other smaller wins to run our profit up to 4.7 units. This college weekend is huge and for many it will determine who is playing in big bowl games and who will be disappointed about playing in some other bowl game. As a note, for all us bettors this weekend is huge. I usually don’t do this, but I am going to give you some great insight. I guarantee there will be several games this weekend where the game comes down to the final play or final series and whoever wins goes on to a big bowl game and the other goes on to some bowl they don’t want to be in. That is key, remember Alabama last year? After losing to Florida they had to play in a bowl game verse Utah that they didn’t want to be in and it cost them. That situation will happen again this year: close game, loser ends up in a meaningless bowl, the loser is favored, and then loses outright. We will need to find those plays on be on the right side.
Thursday Night:

Oregon State at Oregon (-10) for 1 unit. I agree with everything VM said, plus I love the home field advantage in this contest. Oregon is a different team at home and that will be clearly evident tonight as they win by 3 touchdowns over OSU.

LOCK OF THE YEAR #5: Texas (-14) vs Nebraska for 2 units: My Lock of the Year release record is currently at 3-1 and will be without a doubt at 4-1 by the end of Saturday night. Texas wins this game by 4 touchdowns. First off, lets look at where this game is being played, IN TEXAS at the Cowboys stadium. Therefore, the home field advantage goes lopsidedly to Texas. Secondly, Colt McCoy has been sick lately and has moved into front runner position for the Heisman. He can seal up that trophy with a superstar display on Saturday night. Thirdly, McCoy’s stock in the draft will also sharply rise with a strong performance when he and Texas are on center stage on Saturday night.  Statistically, Texas has the better defense, even though Nebraska’s D is no slouch. Nebraska’s offense has really struggled as of late and they will continue to struggle in this spot. They managed to only score 28 against the extremely weak Colorado Buffaloes. Plus, you know the Texas D was somewhat embarrassed by their weak performance against A&M last week so look for them to come out very focused this week. Finally, if Texas wins they play for the National Title, so I don’t see any let down for them in front of this Texas favored crowd. Texas wins in a blowout 49-14.

3) S.Florida/UCONN OVER 51 for 1 unit

4) West Virginia at Rutgers (-2) for 1 unit

5) Cincinnati at Pitt (+2) for 1 unit

6) Wisconsin at Hawaii (+12) for 1 unit

More plays posted later tonight.

Good Luck.

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SMART BET College Football Week 12 Recap

Posted by Brandon Phillips in NFL General on November 30th, 2009 | 2 Comments

Overall Profit 4.7 units.

We played a ton of games this week and if you were with me all the way you cashed several more winners than losers. The key to the week was our two big plays with Auburn and UCONN both covering even though UCONN was close until the final minutes. My Game of Year Record is now at 3-1 a solid 75%. This week brings about several “Championship Games” beginning with games on Thursday.

As you may or may not know, I will be breaking down every single Bowl game here on the site. I will make recommendations on all games, but will clearly indicate which games your money should be on. There will be a ton of live dogs to play over the next month or so.

Thanks for all the comments and to all those who bought me a drink.

THETRIPLEDOUBLE.COM is in full swing and I have isolated several teams early this year that are going to make us a ton of money, hope to have you on board.

Good Luck

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SMART BET College Football Week 13

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on November 24th, 2009 | 10 Comments

Overall Profit 1.3 units

Back on track last week, going 3-2 for 0.8 units of profit. Really like a few games this week, starting with play on Tuesday night. I am also releasing my fourth play of the year this week on Auburn.

1.) Ball State at Western Michigan (-7) FIRST HALF for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

2.) GAME OF THE YEAR RELEASE #4: Alabama at Auburn (+10.5) for 2 units.  There are more than several reasons to love Auburn in this spot besides the fact that I am saying they will cover. First, one of the best bets so far this year in both college and the nfl is home dogs off a bye week. Auburn has been a totally different ball club at home this year. They are 6-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS at home this year. Their defense has not been the Auburn defense of old, but this Bama squad’s offense is poor. They have looked good against very weak teams, but not very good against average defenses. If there was ever a good spot for this Auburn defense to shine it would be here. This also sets up as a trap game for Alabama. Everyone is assuming they are playing Florida in the SEC Championship game to determine who plays for the National Title. Therefore, this is any easy look-ahead game for Bama. I really like this spot for Auburn and think they have a legitimate shot to pull the upset. Game of the Year Winner #3. W for 2 units. (I am 3-1 on GOY releases!)

3.) THANKSGIVING SPECIAL: Texas at Texas A&M (+21) for 1 unit. W for 1 unit.

4.) North Carolina at NC State (+6.5) for 1 unit. Another upset alert! W for 1 unit.

5.) Florida State (+24.5) at Florida for 1 unit. L for 1.1 unit.

6.) Syracuse at Connecticut (-13.5) for 2 units. Blowout special. They win by 4TDs. W for 2 units.

7.) Wake Forest at Duke (+4.5) for 1 unit. L for 1.1 unit.

8.) Missouri (-3) at Kansas for 1 unit. L for 1.1 unit.

9.) Arizona at Arizona State (+3.5) for 1 unit. W for 1 unit.

10.) New Mexico Sate (+11) at San Jose State for 1 unit.

11.) Utah State at Idaho (-3) for 1 unit.

Honestly, I think go 7-0 with the rest of the plays for this week. Absolutely in love with this card.

Other games released later.

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Smart Bet College Football Week 12

Posted by Brandon Phillips in NFL General on November 19th, 2009 | 2 Comments

Overall Profit 0.5 units.

Last week we suffered several tough losses, especially with Fresno State as for someone reason they must have thought they only had to score 14 points to win. The final weeks of the college football season are the most difficult as several more key factors come in to play including: bowl eligilbility, coachs on the hot seat, and guys who are already preparing for life after football, just to name a few. We get back on track with the Thursday night game.

1) Colorado vs Oklahoma State (-17) for 1 unit. (Thursday Night). Important to note that OSU still has an outside chance at playing in a BCS game. They need every win they can get and running up the score on this Colorado team is a good place to start. Colorado can’t wait for the season to be over as this has been one of the most disappointing years in school history. You really have to lean towards home teams playing for something verse road teams playing for absolutely nothing. Tough to see Colorado even staying close. My power ratings have OSU favored by 20. Lay the 17.

2) Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee State (-11) for 1 unit.

3) Virginia at Clemson (-13) First Half for 1 unit

4) Arizona State at UCLA (-4) for 1 unit

5) LSU (+4) at Mississippi for 1 unit

Other games will be posted later.

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SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on November 10th, 2009 | 9 Comments

Overall Profit 3.9 units (updated 11/11)

We start the week early again with a game on Tuesday night. We hit last Tuesday with Bowling Green over Buffalo, so lets keep our strong Tuesday night plays rolling.

1) Ohio at Buffalo (-1.5) This Buffalo team plays hard every single time they take the field. Ohio was a great play early in the season, but are simply not playing the type of ball they once were. Ohio faces an angry Buffalo squad after their loss from a week ago to Bowling Green. Ohio has also been plagued by the injury bug and are probably looking at starting their 3rd string QB tonight. If Buffalo can establish the run this game will be over at halftime. Lay the points with Buffalo.

Ohio 27 Buffalo 24 L for 1.1 units

GAME OF THE YEAR #3: FRESNO STATE (+7) at Nevada for 2 units

This line simply blows me away. I have Fresno State as a 9 point favorite!! Strength of schedule alone makes Fresno State a strong play. Just look at who Fresno State has played and how they faired in those games: on the road in Wisconsin lose in the final seconds, lose at home in a competitive match with Boise State, play Cincinnati tough to the final quarter, and then have won 5 straight, including three road wins. Nevada also post three early loses, but against teams not nearly as strong as what Fresno faced: blowout loss on the road to Notre Dame, a terrible loss to Colorado State on the road (who by the way has lost 7 straight games, including a loss to UNLV, who Nevada beat by 35), and a loss at home to a weak Missouri squad. Both teams will get up and down the field and should score a ton of points. However, as Nevada has stepped up in class they have proven not to be the same squad they are against weaker opponents. Fresno State is a talented squad that can win this game outright. I see this game being close, but Fresno wins 54-42.

3)  Fresno State (+245) at Nevada MONEYLINE. OUTRIGHT DOG WINNER!

4) Bowling Green (-3) at Miami (OH) for 1 unit

Bowling Green 35 Miami (OH) 14 W for 1 unit

5) South Florida (+2.5) at Rutgers for 1 unit

Rutgers 31 South Florida 0 L for 1.1 units

6) WVU at Cincinnati (-9) for 1 unit

7) Florida State (+5) at Wake Forest for 1 unit

8) Clemson (-8) at NC State for 1 unit

9) Arizona (+3) at California for 1 unit


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Weekly Update

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football on November 10th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 5 units

We gave back a few units, but are still on the plus side of things. I have keyed one game for this weekend that I believe may be the absolute biggest play of the year. I will have it posted as soon as I confirm all the numbers and analysis.

College Basketball has started and I cannot be more excited. I told you before it is where I have found the most success, in terms of money made. Last year I was posting my plays on another site under SMART BET and received roughly 500 hits a day. Last night I tipped things off by going 2-0 with a first half and game side play on Ohio State. There are more college games beginning on Wednesday.

Thanks for all the comments.

I am analyzing tonight’s game between Ohio and Buffalo and will post a play if I find something I really like.

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