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SMART BET College Football Picks Week 10

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on November 2nd, 2009 | 45 Comments

Overall Profit 8.5 Units (updated 11/4)

The week starts early again with games beginning on Tuesday.

1) Bowling Green (+3) at Buffalo for 1 unit. Game is on Tuesday.

Bowling Green 30 Buffalo 29 W for 1 unit.

2) Miami (OH) at Temple (-14) for 2 units. Game is on Thursday.

Temple 34 Miami  (OH) 32 L for 2.2 units

3) Illinois at Minnesota (-6) for 1 unit.

Illinois 35 Minnesota 32 L for 1.1 units

4) Fresno State (-8) at Idaho for 1 unit.

Fresno State 31 Idaho 21 W for 1 unit.

5) Oklahoma at Nebraska (+6) for 1 unit.

Nebraska 10 Oklahoma 3 W for 1 unit.

6) Rice at SMU (-18) for 1 unit.

SMU 31 Rice 28 L for 1.1 units

7) Boise State -21 at Louisiana Tech for 1 unit.

Boise State 45 Louisiana Tech 35 L for 1.1 units

More plays will follow, but wanted to get some of the early picks out there to you as soon as possible so you can find the best line.

Good Luck.

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SMART BET WEEKLY UPDATE

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on November 2nd, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Units of Profit is now at 7.5 units

I told you we would be back on track after dropping a couple units last week. Saturday was filled with excitement as the second Play of Year had us all on the edge of our seats until the final seconds. We benefited from a tough defensive stand as Akron threw three incomplete passes from the three yard line and then punted out of their own endzone. A 24yard punt gave NIU the ball on Akron’s 27. With just over 3 minutes to play NIU was up 20-10, one point away from a cover. However, several rushing plays later NIU hits paydirt and we are all cashing winning tickets!!

I also gave you two underdog outright blowout winners with Auburn and Oregon. Both games were never in doubt. Kent State started a bit sluggish, but eventually won easily by 12 over a struggling Western Michigan squad. Air Force gave us our fifth winner of the day as the Colorado State Rams never could get their offense moving against that tough AF defense.

Our lone loss came with Kentucky blowing a 7 point half-time lead. However, I will take 5-1 every week for the rest of my life and retire early. As I have said before, you will be hard pressed to find a free service that works and produces these types of results for you on a consistent basis. I hope all of you cashed some big tickets and are building those bankrolls daily.

There are several midweek games this week and I am already analyzing them and getting ready to release several more winners.

Thanks for all the comments. And a special thanks to those who have BOUGHT ME A DRINK!

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SMART BET COLLEGE PICKS WEEK 9

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on October 27th, 2009 | 51 Comments

Overall Profit 7.5 units (updated 10/31)

On Saturday we won 4.9 units!! We went 5-1 and hit my College Game of the Year Release #2!!

I told you the college week started early! It’s Tuesday and we start building that bankroll for the weekend tonight.

1.) East Carolina (-5) at Memphis for 1 unit: All my key indicators have ECU as  a 7.5 point favorite. ECU is only 1-3 on the road this year, but in their defense they  have played very strong home teams in WVU, UNC, and SMU. Memphis does not fall into that category of strong home teams. ECU’s strength of schedule over Memphis alone makes them a strong play. ECU is 3-1 in conference play while Memphis is 1-3. I just don’t see Memphis being able to move the ball against a strong ECU defense. ECU rolls 34-17.

ECU 39 Memphis 19 W for 1 unit

2.) GAME OF THE YEAR RELEASE #2: Akron at Northern Illinois (-11) for 2 units.

Let me repeat, I hate using that phrase, but this game lines up in all the key categories I examine when looking at a game. This line should have NIU favored by 17 points. Akron is playing their third consecutive road game and you know I love playing against teams that have traveled that much. Plus Akron is playing terrible and has no reason to be inspired enough to get up for this battle with NIU. Plus examining key line movement indicates “smart money” is on this game as well. NIU rolls in an absolute blowout. Final Score 49-10.

NIU 26 Akron 10 W for 2 units.

3) Western Michigan at Kent State (-2.5) for 1 unit.

Kent State 26  Western Michigan 14 W for 1 unit

4.) Mississippi State at Kentucky (-3) for 1 unit.

Kentucky 24 Mississippi State 31 L for 1.1 units.

5.) USC at Oregon (+3) for 1 unit.

Oregon 47 USC 20 W for 1 unit

6.) North Carolina at Virginia Tech (-14.5) for 1 unit. I just bet this game on my lunch hour at the Hilton. My stats have VaTech a 23.5 point favorite, which is likely why you saw the line move early from 15 to 16.5, but why the line has moved back to 14.5 seems beyond belief. I just do not see how UNC scores on the road. They were able to put up 27 against FSU last week, but they still lost and there is no debating how terrible the defense of Florida State is. VT will easily covers this spread if a couple things happen: (1) they don’t turn the ball over, and (2) their defense  setups a few easy scores by creating turnovers or winning the field position battle. Both of which I think they will do.

UNC 20 VT 17 L for 1.1 units.

7.) Air Force (-6) at Colorado State for 1 unit: CSU has been tough at home over the past few years, but AF’s D will cause to much havoc for the Rams to deal with on Saturday.

Air Force 34 Colorado State 16 W for 1 unit

8.) Ole Miss at Auburn (+4) for 1 unit. Auburn rebounds with an upset win.

Auburn 33 OleMiss 20 W for 1 unit

Good Luck.

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SMART BET COLLEGE PICKS UPDATE

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on October 26th, 2009 | 1 Comment

Overall Profit 2.7 units

Weekly Loss -1.9 units

Thanks for all the comments this week. Unfortunately, we ended our run of two consecutive profitable weeks. On the good side, my Game of Year with Georgia Tech hit easily by winning 34-9. I was spot on in that game as I called the final score to be 34-7 easily covering the 5 point spread. In all honesty I wanted to tell you to bet a minimum of 5 units on that game, but that would totally manipulate all my numbers and make it appear as if the only reason I was a profitable capper is because I hit one big game. Week 9 starts on Tuesday with East Carolina and Memphis.

I also told you to pay your mortgage by playing Green Bay as they crushed the Browns. So I hope you made a little money there as well.

Congrats to Vegas Martin as he dominated the NFL. As I have said before, you will be hard pressed to find a better free service on the net then here at THEPASSRUSH.

Good Luck.

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SMART BET COLLEGE PICKS WEEK 8: Including Game of the Year Release #1

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on October 19th, 2009 | 21 Comments

Overall Profit 2.7 units (updated 10/26 at 10:06 pm)

Weekly Loss -1.9 units (updated 10/26 at 10:06 pm)

Just like last week, I have already bet several games early and am releasing them to you so that you can shop around and get the best available line.

1) Air Force at Utah (-11) for 1 unit. Utah should dominate this game from start to finish. Way better balanced attack. AF’s offense can be stopped.

Utah 23 Air Force 16 L for 1.1 units

2) Wake Forest at Navy (-2.5) for 1 unit. Navy continues to improve and will take advantage of weak road team in WF.

Navy 13 Wake Forest 10 W for 1 unit

3) Indiana at Northwestern (-5.5) for 2 units. Northwestern is simply a better squad top to bottom. Indiana is one dimensional and Northwestern should be able to shut them down.

Northwestern 29 Indiana 28 L of 2.2 units

4) Tulsa (-7) at UTEP for 1 unit. I have not bet this game yet myself because I know there are still some 7s out there and the Hilton had the line at -7.5 already.

UTEP 28 TULSA 24 L of 1.1 units

5) Clemson (+6) at Miami for 1 unit.  Clemson can match the speed of Miami and are playing much better than Miami right now. I will take the points.

Clemson 40 Miami 37 W for 1 unit

6) Kent State at Ohio (-10) for 2 unit. Ohio continues to roll. Kent State playing back to back road games in conference, tough spot for them.

Kent State 20 Ohio 11 L for 2.2 units

7) Arizona State (+6) at Stanford for 1 unit. Really like how ASU is playing right now. This would be a solid upset, but they will keep it close throughout.

Stanford 33 Arizona State 14 L for 1.1 units

8) GAME OF THE YEAR RELEASE #1: (I actually hate to use this phrase and you will not see this out of me very often, but the line for this game is completely off and you need to take advantage of this opportunity.) Georgia Tech (-4.5) vs Virginia for 2 units. Virginia does not have the defense to stop the attack of GT. The score should absolutely be 35-7.

Georgia Tech 34 Virginia 9 W for 2 units

9) Clemson/Miami OVER 44 for 1 unit. Either of these two offenses could score this alone. I do like both of these defenses, but this number should be 50.

Clemson/Miami Total 77 W for 1 unit

10) Tulsa/UTEP UNDER 59.5 for 1 unit. As I have repeated, Tulsa’s D is very solid and as a team they have went under the total 4 times. I see this game in the area of Tulsa 37 UTEP 17.

TULSA/UTEP TOTAL 52 W for 1 unit

11) Florida State (+2.5) vs UNC for 1 unit. I have looked at this game for about 3 to 4 hours today alone and have landed firmly on FSU. There are several factors to that analysis including: key line movement, “smart” money, power ratings from 3 different sources, strength of schedule, and the fact that Bowden’s career may be riding on this game. FSU wins 24-10.

FLORIDA STATE 30 UNC 27 W for 1 unit

12) Fresno State (-24) at New Mexico State for 1 unit.

Fresno 34 New Mexico State 3 W for 1 unit

13) Penn State at Michigan (+4.5) for 1 unit.

Penn State 35 Michigan 10 L for 1.1 units

PARLAY LOVERS SPECIAL!!

2 – TEAM PARLAY: Georgia Tech (-5.5) and Ohio (-9.5)  for 1 unit.

GT W Ohio L L for 1.1 units

I will be releasing other games as the week goes on.

Thanks for all the comments.

Good Luck.

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SMART BET PICKS IN REVIEW

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on October 19th, 2009 | 6 Comments

We finished the week still up 4.6 units overall. Giving us 2 straight profitable weeks. Not bad for a free service.

My top picks were flat awful, no excuses, neither had a chance at all. That is gambling, sometimes even when all the numbers add up you still end up on the wrong side of things.

Week 8 is already upon us with games beginning on Wednesday, which I am already closely analyzing. There are also several other games I am looking at and will again be releasing on this site as early as possible so that you have the opportunity to get the best line available.

Thanks again for all the comments.

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SMART BET College Football Picks Week 7

Posted by Brandon Phillips in College Football Picks on October 12th, 2009 | 46 Comments

Overall Profit 6.2 units (updated as of 10/14 11:18 pm)

Weekly Running Profit: 2 unit (updated as of 10/14 11:18 pm)

We are coming off one of our greatest weeks ever. However, those bets don’t count this week and we need to keep rolling and finding solid plays. I have already jumped on four games as I saw some key statistical advantages and some key line moves that gave indication for strong plays.

1. Boise State vs Tulsa (+8.5) for 1 unit This game is Wednesday Night! Remember to look for the best available line.

Boise State 28 Tulsa 21 (W) 1 unit of profit.

2. Kent State (-6.5) at Eastern Michigan for 1 unit (W)

3. Miami OH at Ohio (-13.5)for 1 unit (W)

4. Texas Tech at Nebraska (-10) for 1 unit (L)

5. Arkansas State at UL-Monore (-1) for 1 unit  This game is on Tuesday Night.

UL Monroe 16 Arkansas State 10, (W) 1 unit of profit

6. Bowling Green at Ball State (+3) for 2 units (Ball State gets their first win of the season!) (L)

7. Baylor (+2.5) at Iowa State for 2 units (Baylor wins outright! Iowa State will still be affected by last weeks close upset loss to Kansas, you will definitely see a non-focused team. ISU gets beat by 2 touchdowns.) (L)

8. Virginia at Maryland (+3) for 1 unit: Maryland has been close in several games this year and I think they come through with a home win over Virginia. (L)

9. Georgia (-9.5) at Vanderbilt for 1 unit. Vandy is simply not good enough to stop Georgia’s offense. Plus Georgia’s D will put plenty of pressure on the QB and cause several TOs. (W)

10. Akron (+7.5) vs Buffalo for 1 unit. (W)

11. Washington vs Arizona State (-6.5) for 1 unit. Washington has been way more lucky than good. ASU thumps them this weekend. (W)

Those are all the plays for this weekend, but be sure to check back late Friday night or early Saturday just in case I get any late breaking info on the games.

Good Luck.

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