THE PASS RUSH :: "NFL and college football picks against the spread." | NFL | NBA | NHL | MLB
| Log in |

Super Bowl Prediction and Pick Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on January 28th, 2008 | 1 Comment

It looks like the Giants line is between +11 and +13.  I not taking the game myself because as an Eagles fan, I want the Giants to lose.  I do, however, think that the Giants will cover this Sunday.  I think the Patriots escape with a 10-point victory.  I’m going to go ahead and say that the game will be something like 27-17 or 34-24.  Just like the Chargers, just like the Jaguars, and just like most of the teams that the Patriots faced since the Eagles in week 12, the Giants will be able to hang around before Brady closes the game out in the 4th quarter, which is why the Patriots are 1-7 against the spread in their last 8 games.  Remember, the Giants only lost by 3 the last time these teams played.

There are a few reasons I wouldn’t suggest taking the Patriots spread: Tom Brady says his foot is fine, but others say it contributed to his 3 INTs against the Chargers two weeks ago; Randy Moss has been shut down throughout the playoffs (translates into more short Welker yards that picks up small pieces, but leaves out the big play; that translates into more time off the clock and less chances to cover the 11-13 points); the Giants pass rush has been insane, with Brady on a bum foot, he’ll have trouble escaping any pressure; the Giants, to me, are playing just as inspired, if not more, than the Patriots: even though they won last week, they looked nervous, irritated, and even worn down.

There are a few reason why I would be reluctant if you want to take the Giants: Eli has been great, but he does have the occasional piss-poor game; the Patriots will give up a lot of yards between the 20s, but once a team is in the redzone, they buckle down; the Giants still have some injuries in the secondary.

Overall, I think you’re better off taking the Giants spread.  The Giants aren’t going to lay down and should still be in the game in the 4th quarter; I’m expecting a fairytale Brady scoring drive late in the 4th quarter to finally put the game out of reach.

Prediction – Patriots defeat Giants 27-17

Patriots Moneyline – Confidence 4/5
Giants +12.5 Spread – Confidence 3/5



One Response to Super Bowl Prediction and Pick Against the Spread:

  1. NFL Super Bowl 44 Prediction and Pick Against the Spread | THE PASS RUSH

    Date: Feb 04, 2010 at 12:45 am

    […] I did consider the Giants as the lesser of two evils that game.  I took Cardinals +7 last year and Giants +12.5 the year before that.  Will I take the dog again this year?  Let’s […]

Leave a Reply

Want a picture next to your name? Sign up for a Gravatar!


HOME | NFL PICKS | NCAA PICKS | VIDEOS

Facebook Twitter RSS Feed Mobile Football Picks
YAHOO PICK 'EM LEAGUE
League Home Page | Register
League ID: 63470
League Password: thepassrush
Winner gets an NFL Shop Custom T-Shirt
CHAMPIONS:
2009 - Deez Nuts (MN)
2010 - To Be Crowned
2011 - Possibly You
LATEST PASS RUSH COMMENTS
ADVERTISEMENT
FOOTBALL POLL

Who do you think will win the Super Bowl?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

  NFL Rumors & News >




Powered by Zadling | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy