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Broncos/Patriots Monday Night Pick

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 20th, 2008 | Comment »

I like Denver to win outright, so taking the 3 points looks good. I don’t particularly like taking the road team on Monday night, but I like my chances against a QB like Cassel. The Patriots defense hasn’t proven anything all year long, so Denver shouldn’t have a problem scoring points. However, they are without Sheffler and Selvin Young. The stars come out on Monday night (Randy Moss, maybe?) and Bellechik is at home, but if the Dolphins can destroy the Patriots at home, there’s no reason the Broncos can’t. The Pats looked good against the 49ers, but let’s be serious, who doesn’t look good against the 49ers. They got killed by the Chargers the next week.

I’ll go with Broncos +3 tonight, but I’m not personally taking the game. I also will never bet on or against the Broncos again. I don’t like the teaser w/ the over because the over or under could hit. You could tease it Denver +10 and Over 41 or Under 55 and be in good shape, but that’s your call. Conventional wisdom says Monday Night and OVER is the way to go.

Check the injury report too. Denver is without Selvin Young and Tony Scheffler, two important pieces of that Broncos offense. The good news is that Eddie Royal, who was questionable, is going to give it a go.

Prediction – Broncos 24 – Patriots 20

Cutler messes up his throwing hand on the first drive, Broncos cough up the ball 3 times, Pats turn it into 20-0 at the half. That’s why I don’t bet on the Broncos. And if I would have said take the Pats, Cutler’s throwing hand would be perfect and he ends up passing all over the Pats.

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