THE PASS RUSH :: "NFL and college football picks against the spread." | NFL | NBA | NHL | MLB
| Log in |

NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 20th, 2008 | 4 Comments

CINCINNATI BENGALS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS -11

I like the Steelers to cover, but the field conditions may lend itself to a low-scoring game, which would then favor the +11. I wouldn’t bet on this one until you know how Pittsburgh field will be. It’s notorious for getting bad. The Bengals and Eagles went 13-13 after 75 minutes. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Steelers win in a 23-13 game. The Bengals offense is really bad and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Steelers shut them out.

HOUSTON TEXANS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS -3

I’ll go with the Browns at home. Quinn is looking good and Texans just can’t seem to win anything.  Update: Quinn messed up a finger, check up on that.

BUFFALO BILLS -3 @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

I like the Chiefs in what should be an ugly game. I’m definitely not counting on the Bills (1-5 in their last 6) to win this one on the road.

NEW YORK JETS @ TENNESSEE TITANS -5

The Jets have a great opportunity to hand the Titans their first loss, but I don’t see it happening in Tennessee. As Brandon says, never bet against a streak and I say that the Titans still have a goose-egg in the loss column and win by a TD or two. Titans 24-14.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS -1.5

The Patriots have been able to win games, but the Dolphins have been winning game. They’ve won four in a row and I like them at home. This is a great spot to take the Dolphins as you don’t even have to lay down a touchdown. I still always am hesitant when I say bet the Dolphins though. Are they due for a let down? I’ll probably go 2 units on the Dolphins.

SAN FRANSISCO 49ERS @ DALLAS COWBOYS -10

The Cowboys will finally be able to get that high scoring offense back against this defense. I don’t see the Cowboys D giving up much. They’ll be jacked up to have Romo back in his first home game since returning from the finger injury. Cowboys 31-13. I think this is a good spread to take. I don’t see this one being too close. The 49ers only almost winning @ Arizona and then winning 35-16 against the Rams does give them a little momentum to at least cover, but they got beat by 12 against the Giants, and this should be a similar beating.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -8.5 @ DETROIT LIONS

The Lions were able to fight last week, which was surprising, but they still fell to the tough Panthers. I don’t see them winning this one, not against the Bucs defense. The Bucs offense still only averages 21 points, which means the Bucs only need 13 points to cover the Bucs average offense, but let’s be serious, the Lions defense will give up tons of points. I’m just saying the Bucs play close games. I don’t see the Bucs running it up on the Lions. I think they can definitely cover, and probably will, but I’m staying away from this one.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ BALTIMORE RAVENS -1

I feel like the Eagles are being fed to the Lions after a demoralizing loss. If the Eagles lose this one, fans will be calling for McNabb and Andy’s head. They better prepare for dog fight.

CHICAGO BEARS -8.5 @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

At first I liked the Bears to cover, but after that routing in Green Bay, I’m not too confident in taking them.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS -2.5

The Jaguars are having problems winning games at home. I see this one as a toss up, either one of them is capable of coming out on top, but I’m leaning towards the Vikings.

CAROLINA PANTHERS @ ATLANTA FALCONS -1

I just think of the ESPN commercials when I think of the NFC South. What a solid conference. This is a great game to watch, but a bad game to bet on. On a neutral field, I would take the Panthers, but with the game in ATL, it’s just too close to call. It should be a great game to watch.

OAKLAND RAIDERS @ DENVER BRONCOS -9.5

The Broncos look like they have their mojo back, but I just don’t bet on the Broncos anymore, they’ve screwed me too many times in the past. Just a terrible team to bet on.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS -3.5 @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

I’ll take the Redskins, they should beat the Seahawks in solid fashion.

NEW YORK GIANTS -3 @ ARIZONA CARDINALS

The Cardinals have the offense to make this an entertaining offensive showing, but it seems like the Giants can outscore just about anyone in 60 minutes. Keep riding the Giants and only give up the 3. We all know how Eli did the last time he played in AZ. Giants 31-24.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -2.5

The Chargers haven’t done anything to impress me in their last two games since the bye. The Colts have won 3 in a row and it looks like their offense is back. Their defense can be a liability at times. Check on the status of Bob Sanders before this game. If he’s in the line up, I like the Colts in what should be a great battle to watch Sunday Night. Take the Colts outright (+115).

GREEN BAY PACKERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -2.5

I like the Packers in this one. The Saints defense can give any bettor a heart attack. They’re offense should keep up with the Packers, but I see the Packers running away with this one by the middle of the 3rd quarter. I would take the Packers (+125).

BOTTOM LINE

I’m doing a 1 unit parlay on the Colts and Packers. It pays close to 4:1. Unfortunately they’re both on the road, but they’re both much stronger than the opposition in my opinion. They should both be close games.

I would keep riding the Titans. I’ll put 4 units on the Titans. I’m going 3 units on the Giants. 2 units on the Dolphins. 2 units on the Cowboys. 2 units on the Redskins.

1-unit, 11-team teaser (Pays 20:1): Cowboys -3, Giants +4, Titans +2, Bucs -1.5, Steelers -4, Colts +9.5, Packers +9.5, Redskins +3.5, Broncos -2.5, Vikings +9.5.



4 Responses to NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread:

  1. John

    Date: Nov 21, 2008 at 2:26 pm

    man i like your picks n i use alot of them weekly but u screw me over alot i guess thats just the way the NFL goes

  2. Vegas Martin

    Date: Nov 21, 2008 at 2:30 pm

    Yup, on paper, this looks like an easy week. Also, I don’t screw you over, gambling screws you over. My picks were 3-2 last week, so I’ll take it. And that’s with the Eagles monumental choke. I also called the Browns to win outright on Monday Night.

    There’s also a little thing called “upsets” that tend to happen from time-to-time. There are no easy games against the spread. The spreads are designed to get even money on both sides. Let’s see what happens this week. Good luck.

  3. Brandon Phillips

    Date: Nov 23, 2008 at 3:28 am

    Here is my parlay NFL card:

    1. Two Team Parlay for $25 Patriots (pk) and Dallas (-9.5) returns $90
    2. Three Team Parlay for $15 Patriots (pk), Giants (-3), and Indy/SD over 49 returns $98.99
    3. Three Team Parlay for $15 Dallas (-9.5), Giants (-3), and Indy/SD over 49 returns $98.99
    4. Four Team Parlay for $6 Patriots (pk), Dallas (-9.5), Giants (-3), and Indy/SD over 49 returns $80

    Let me know what you think.

  4. Vegas Martin

    Date: Nov 23, 2008 at 10:56 am

    I like the Dolphins (at home) over the Pats. Their points forced and points allowed per game are identical. We all know what happened last game. I don’t know why 13/16 experts at covers.com are picking the Pats and they also have 69% of the consensus. I’m still sticking with the Dolphins in a close one. Dolphins win 20-16.

    Indy/SD over 49. Not necessarily a lock. 7+ TDs. Not too sure about that one. You would think that this one will see a lot of points with two very good offenses with suspect defense. I can see a final score of 31-24. I think you’ll be sweating that one out, the final score will be teetering around the over/under.

    Update: Bob Sanders is out, that should help the over.

Leave a Reply

Want a picture next to your name? Sign up for a Gravatar!


HOME | NFL PICKS | NCAA PICKS | VIDEOS

Facebook Twitter RSS Feed Mobile Football Picks
YAHOO PICK 'EM LEAGUE
League Home Page | Register
League ID: 63470
League Password: thepassrush
Winner gets an NFL Shop Custom T-Shirt
CHAMPIONS:
2009 - Deez Nuts (MN)
2010 - To Be Crowned
2011 - Possibly You
LATEST PASS RUSH COMMENTS
ADVERTISEMENT
FOOTBALL POLL

Who do you think will win the Super Bowl?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

  NFL Rumors & News >




Powered by Zadling | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy