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MNF Preview: Packers @ Saints Pick Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 24th, 2008 | Comment »

Monday Night Football finally has a good matchup for the first time in about 3-4 weeks. I already placed a nice parlay of Colts and Packers, which pays 4:1 and the Colts already delivered the big win last night against the Chargers. If the Pack can win tonight, it will be another solid week for me. The line opened at Packers +2.5, but moved to a pick ’em game, which indicates that the betting public is riding the Packers tonight. Good news for the Packers: Reggie Bush will be out tonight. Bad news for the Packers: The Saints will be jacked up to return home for the first time in 5 weeks.

Despite the Packers being on the road, I like them to win this one, in what should be a tight game that sees a lot of points. Both offenses can score with the best of them, but the Packers defense is way ahead of the Saints defense. With that defensive edge, I expect the Packers to come out with a win in the Super Dome. Both teams average 27 points of offense per game, but the Saints are allowing 4 more points per game. Both teams are 5-5, but the Packers have been better against the spread, going 7-3 compared to the Saints 5-4.

Worried about that Saints passing attack? Green Bay is ranked 3rd against the pass, allowing just 176 yards per game.

I already have 5 units riding on the Packers on a 1-unit bet (2-team parlay with the Colts), but I may put another 2 units on them. I like the Packers tonight!

Reaction: Damn! 6/8 of ESPN’s announcers liked the Packers. It was a hell of a first half and it looked like a game at 24-21. Drew Brees was ridiculous tonight. This could have been his best game of the year. A-Rod threw a couple picks, the Saints defense gained momentum, and it was all over at that point.  I guess this is a good time to say that the Packers would be better off with Favre.

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