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Week 13 Betting Reaction, Sunday Night Pick

Posted by in NFL Picks on November 30th, 2008 | Comment »

BETTING REACTION:

The individual games that I played (Baltimore, Atlanta, and Indianapolis) went well. I’ll take 2/3 and especially the big money game, the Ravens. The Colts won, but didn’t cover by 1. 1 point away from the 3-for-3 sweep. The Bills and Jets busted up the teaser. The Bills and Jets surprisingly let their home fans down. I’m surprised the Bills lost to a 3-8 team, but Coach Singleterry has that squad more focused each week. They’re not as bad as their record indicates. The 3-team teaser wouldn’t have mattered because the Jets got crushed by the Broncos. I was at looking what to do with my last 3 units and I figured the Ravens were a lock, and I wanted to take two home teams to spread the risk around. I knew I should have put that on the Giants instead! For the day: plus 9 units, minus 7 units, so it’s been a positive day. I knew I found a good spread with the Ravens. Added 4 more units on the Vikings parlay. Moved up 6 units Sunday and 5 units Thanksgiving. Cha-Ching!

TODAY’S BOTTOM LINE: AWAY TEAMS ARE 10-1 TODAY!

To use the words of Dick Vermeil, “that’s something you don’t see every day.”

BEARS @ VIKINGS PICK:

The Vikings line moved from Vikings -3.5 to -4.5, which means the public is betting hard on the Vikings. The Vikings have been ridiculous lately, but the Bears aren’t too shabby. I’m was going to go 2-unit teaser: Vikings +2.5, over 35, but there’s no sense in taking 2.5 points. A 3 unit bet only pays 2.5. I like the Vikings moneyline and over 42 parlay. The Covers.com expert picks heavily favor the over 42 and Vikings covering 3.5. Oh, and Vikings are 4-1 at home, but that goes against today’s trend. I still like the Vikes.

Tonight’s Bet: 2-unit parlay, Vikings moneyline, over 42. It pays close to 2:1.

NAILED IT!



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