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Saturday Night Winner Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL General on September 18th, 2010 | 2 Comments

Houston Cougars @ UCLA Bruins

I am completely baffled by this line. I think that Houston should be a double digit favorite in this one.

Houston should cruise to an easy victory tonight in UCLA.

UCLA couldn’t even score a point in their home opener against Stanford. Their offensive confidence has to be at zero. They have turned it over seven times in two games! Houston has forced five themselves this season and should have a hay day (or night) against UCLA. Although Houston didn’t play a powerhouse in UTEP last week, they still managed to get 656 total yards which anyway should boost their confidence on offense.

After losing 35-0 in their home opener, all home field advantage has been lost in my opinion for the Bruins. This is Houston’s first road game of the season, but the Bruins are only 1-4 ATS in their last five at games at home.

UCLA seems to have trouble controlling the ball and with their turnovers should hand the Cougars an easy cover tonight.

Key Factor: Houston is 8-2 in their last ten non-conference games in September.

Play on Houston (-4)

2 Responses to Saturday Night Winner Against the Spread:

  1. Vegas Martin

    Date: Sep 18, 2010 at 7:19 pm

    I’m with you Joey G. UCLA got shut out by Stanford 35-0. UCLA is very weak and Houston has the offense to put up points in bunches. I usually don’t like taking Houston since they always win by something like 45-44, 51-49, but with UCLA 0-2, they should definitely roll to an easy win. I grabbed this one at Houston (-3). Good luck.

  2. Vegas Martin

    Date: Sep 18, 2010 at 8:34 pm

    I’m liking this Houston pick the more I think about it.

    Why was the spread so low? Beause QB Case Keenum is questionable due to a concussion. However, he’s medically cleared to play and should get the start.

    Some great stats to look at.

    Houston Yds Comp.% Y/A TD/INT
    Case Keenum 553 69.6 12.02 5/3

    UCLA Yds Comp.% Y/A TD/INT
    Kevin Prince 159 39.5 4.18 1/3

    Need more stats?
    Houston has had 570 YPG and 61 PPG vs. UCLA’s 273 YPG and 11 PPG.

    UCLA has given up 33 PPG compared to Houston’s 26 PPG.

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