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The Kid’s Week 5 NFL ATS and O/U

Posted by in NFL General, NFL Picks, NFL Predictions on October 7th, 2010 | Comment »

I am finally getting an article out to you guys before Saturday. This should give you time to do your own research and let my picks sink in. I hope you all took my Sunday night winner on the New York Giants (-3.5). I predicted the wrong score, but I got the ‘Giants by 17’ correct. That now makes me 7-4-0 on my NFL picks.

I am not doing every week 5 pick in the NFL, but I will give you some that stick out to me and I like. These will be in order from my strongest plays to my, well I wouldn’t say WEAK, but you get the point.

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Game 1: Take the Buffalo Bills +1 against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Buffalo doesn’t even need the points in this game. They get their first win this week against the Jags. The Jags are coming off a huge victory against the Colts and watch them totally overlook this game. Jags rank 30th in opponents passing yards per game, I like Fitzpatrick to absolutely erupt in this game and win by a touchdown.

Game 2: Take the Washington Redskins +2.5 against the Green Bay Packers.

This is a big game for the Washington Redskins coming in at 2-2 and look to stay on pace with the rest of the NFC East. Even thought the Skins have one of the worst pass defenses in the league, the Pack have virtually no run game. Washington will key on Rodgers and the passing game. Now Washington is without Clinton Portis which scares me a little bit, but the offensive line played great against Philly and hopefully they keep that up as Washington will roll and cover the spread.

Game 3: Play on the UNDER 35.5 in the Bears/Panthers game AND Carolina +3

I know Carolina’s defense is terrible this year, but they will put up a fight this week. Carolina only has FOUR sacks this year which is tied with Chicago for dead last. The under is set very low, Vegas knows this game will be low scoring for some reason. Take the under for an easy winner. I ALSO like Carolina ATS in this one and even possibly getting their first victory of the season depending on if Cutler plays or not. If Cutler does not play or is not 100% I like Carolina in their first victory of the season.

Game 4: Play on the Cleveland Browns +3 against the Atlanta Falcons.

This pick may be a tad bit biased because I am from Cleveland and AM a Cleveland Browns fanatic. I took Cleveland last week for BIG and hit, I wish I had time to write about that one. Falcons come in with a fantastic offense AND defense. It looks like the Browns have their hands full. Peyton Hillis has emerged as a game changer for the Brownies and punishes defenses and wears them down. Cleveland’s defense has impressed me as well and they will not back down. I think Cleveland’s defense will blitz from every which way and give Matt Ryan problems and force him into some bad throws. Even though this pick is biased and Falcons should realistically beat them by at least 10, the line is 3, and for what reason Vegas?

Game 5: Take the Dallas Cowboys -6.5 against the Tennessee Titans.

The Cowboys have won 5 straight games coming off of a bye week. I think this will be a close game that comes down to the wire and I see the Cowboys winning by 7-10 points. If I didn’t think Chris Johnson would get back on his game and go for 100 yards, I see Dallas by 15-20 points. CJ will have a tough 100 yards though with a Dallas defense coming in ranked 8th in opponents rushing. Dallas at home and coming off of a by week, will dominate the visiting Titans.

Game 6: Play on the Houston Texans -3 against the New York Giants.

I hope many of you watched last Sunday night’s game when the Giants did anything and everything against the Broncos. Well that is why I am taking the Texans in this one. After everyone watched that prime time game, many of you may think New York should be favored and will win this game outright. But Houston has the second best rush defense in the NFL along with the best rush offense and eighth ranked passing offense. I like Houston at home with the Giants coming in riding the high wave. Houston will put them back in their place this week.

Well, there are my picks for week 5 of the NFL. As you can see I took a bunch of underdogs. I LOVE dogs and I took all dogs last week and won. Although I did not write about these games because I was away on business, I took the Browns (+2.5), Denver (+6.5) and the Redskins (+5). I hope you follow my picks and they deliver for you. BEST OF LUCK!

The Kid

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