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King’s NFL Week 6 Picks Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL General, NFL Picks on October 11th, 2011 | 5 Comments

I did a little bit of research online and found out a way to calculate predicted scores of these NFL games by the week. This system goes off of both teams’ points forced, points allowed, the points forced by all of their opponents thus far, and points allowed by all their opponents this season. You end up getting an offensive and defensive number that tells you whether or not they’re performing up with the league average in offense and defense, therefore spitting out a score for the game. These are what I got for Week 6 along with plays:

Cleveland Browns @ Oakland Raiders: Browns 18.68 – Raiders 30.98

St. Louis Rams @ Green Bay Packers: Rams 11.08 – Packers 40.07

Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots: Cowboys 26.01 – Patriots 34.75

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaguars 8.14 – Steelers 22.42

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons: Panthers 23.90 – Falcons 24.48

Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals: Colts 12.9o – Bengals 30.61

Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants: Bills 35.76 – Giants 26.76

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Saints 32.11 – Buccaneers 21.14

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins: Eagles 17.23 – Redskins 24.19

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens: Texans 16.14 – Ravens 27.87

San Francisco 49ers @ Detroit Lions: 49ers 22.34 – Lions 25.02

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears: Vikings 19.41 – Bears 21.68

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets: Dolphins 17.27 – Jets 27.87

Plays resulting from scores:

Raiders (-6) W

Packers (-14.5) W

Panthers (+5.5) L

Bengals (-7) *UPDATED LINE (-6) W

Bills (+3) P

Saints (-4.5) L

Redskins (+1) *UPDATED LINE (+3) L

Ravens (-6.5) W



The score that produced that biggest difference from a Vegas line was the Green Bay game having them win by 29 points which is roughly 14.5 points off the spread.

P.S. – Tried it out for the first time last week and it gave me Green Bay, Buffalo, Tennessee, Indy, Detroit, and NYG, going 3-3 ATS.


5 Responses to King’s NFL Week 6 Picks Against the Spread:

  1. Hal-O-Pena AZZ

    Date: Oct 12, 2011 at 12:51 pm

    I just have to say I love this guy in a non-gay way. I like his articles and how he tries to predict football games. He reminds me of a younger me before I let the drugs and alcohol take over my life. Keep it up!

  2. King

    Date: Oct 13, 2011 at 11:52 am

    haha thanks guy

  3. Renee

    Date: Oct 16, 2011 at 5:42 am

    That is so kool how you predict the scores :) Hope this works for me this week, let’s wait and see now… please keep your posts coming. I had fun reading your prediction

  4. King

    Date: Oct 16, 2011 at 12:00 pm


    I’ll be doing this for the rest of the NFL Season.

  5. Deez Nuts

    Date: Oct 16, 2011 at 11:48 pm

    Thanks for this info VegasMartin!

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