With all the updates to the site, the NFL week 2 picks against the spread was pushed off the main page. You can click the link to get an analysis on every game on tap.
My favorite games this week are: TITANS -6.5 over Texans, Vikings -10 over LIONS, and Steelers -3 over CHICAGO. I would also give some consideration to the Redskins, who could easily blank the Rams again with their superb defense.
HOUSTON TEXANS @ TENNESSEE TITANS -6.5
UPDATE: It will be POURING in the Titans/Texans game and that will affect how this game plays out. Expect more running and this game will be low scoring, which hurts the Titans chances of covering. I still see a Titans cover in the area of a 17-9, 17-6, 20-10, 20-13 Titans win. The Titans are the type of team built for playing in the elements, unlike the Texans.
I am pretty comfortable taking the Titans at home. I would like them a lot more on a dry field though. Their defense is superb, their running game is excellent, and Kerry Collins was looking like a legitimate fantasy quarterback last week against a tough Steelers defense.
The Titans have a ton of excellent TEs to work into the game with Bo Scaife (who is unfortunately doubtful this game due to a knee injury), Alge Crumpler, and Jarred Cook. Justin Gage turned in an excellent performance last week and they have speedster Nate Washington, who they acquired from the Steelers, and rookie big-bodied WR Kenny Britt. That’s all without mentioning the true star on this team: Chris Johnson. Tennessee has the weapons to be a Super Bowl contender this season and I think they win big today at home.
Overall Profit/Loss: +0.6 units (back on the plus side with a nice win with Boise State last night).
I know I usually write a decent analysis of the games, but in an effort just to get these up I am posting them without analysis. If you have specific questions about a game please let me know and I will respond.
Michigan State at Notre Dame (-10): The Play ND (-10) 1 unit. Look for ND to rebound after their loss and they play much better at home.
La Lafayette at LSU (-27.5): The Play LSU (-27.5) 2 unit. Too much talent on the LSU in this contest.
UCONN at Baylor (-10): The Play Baylor (-10) 1 unit. Real tough spot for UCONN off last weeks tough loss.
Florida State (+8) at BYU: The Play FSU (+8) 1 unit. If Miami is as good as they looked against GT, maybe FSU is better than most think.
Cincinnati at Oregon State (+1.5) The Play OSU (+1.5) 1 unit. OSU surprises the Bearcats in this spot.
1.) LaDanian Tomlinson — Not a good sign for fantasy owners in week 1. L.T. suffers a bum ankle. He’ll likely sit out and even if he plays, he’s not worth starting againt the Ravens defense.
2.) Anthony Gonzalez — Could miss up to 8 weeks with a knee injury. I hope you didn’t reach too high for him.
3.) Donovan McNabb — The Eagles haven’t ruled him out yet, but the cracked ribs may keep him out against the Saints. Keep an eye on his status. Kevin Kolb is likely available and could have a big day for the Eagles if he’s asked to play.
4.) Vincent Jackson — Got off to a great start with 56 yards and a TD against the Raiders. This week he’ll have to face the Ravens and could be shut down.
5.) Pierre Thomas — Will likely continue to sit while Mike Bell gets the carries for the Saints. In any event, he’ll be facing the Eagles, who don’t give up many yards on the ground.
START ‘EM:
1.) Thomas Jones — The Jets will run the football this season. With 100 yards and 2 TDs, he’s giving Rex a reason to keep Washington off the field and keeping him on. With Jerod May for the Pats out, the match up looks favorable. Pats struggled to contain the Bill’s Fred Jackson last week.
2.) Correll Buckhalther — Will get the majority of Denver’s carries with Knowshon still trying to recovery from an ankle injury (I believe). He’s at home against the Browns who ranked in the bottom of the league against the run last season and gave up 255 rushing yards to the Bengals last week.
Nice win last night and looking to start rolling as we get into the third weekend of college football. I know you can’t make a living playing against home dogs, but tonight I just think Fresno State is simply out-classed. Tough spot for Fresno State here coming off that difficult road loss to Wisconsin in double overtime. Now they return home to face a Boise State team that is much better than Wisconsin or Fresno State in just about every statistical category. Currently Boise State seems to be in what I will term the “Killer Position.” Boise State literally destroyed an Oregon team that will feel the effects of that loss for the rest of the season. They completely crushed Miami-Ohio and covered the 38.5 point spread. Tonight they take on Fresno State in a very vulnerable position (still feeling the blow from last week). Plus add to that, that Boise State loves playing in these nationally televised games and will be pumped up to show off their talent again. Fresno State has not faced a defense as tough as Boise State. Fresno State’s QB looked great in the first half verse the Badgers, throwing 3 TDs, but threw 3 Ints in the second half. I just see Boise State really coming out prepared, focused, and determined to show they belong in another BCS game. Remember this, Boise State will likely not play in a bowl game if the suffer even one loss, so each game is that much more important to them.
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