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SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13

Posted by in College Football Picks on December 3rd, 2009 | 2 Comments

Overall Profit 4.7 units

Where has this college football season gone? We have had our share of winners and losers and our share of hot streaks and cold streaks. Last week I put you on two huge winners with Auburn and Connecticut and several other smaller wins to run our profit up to 4.7 units. This college weekend is huge and for many it will determine who is playing in big bowl games and who will be disappointed about playing in some other bowl game. As a note, for all us bettors this weekend is huge. I usually don’t do this, but I am going to give you some great insight. I guarantee there will be several games this weekend where the game comes down to the final play or final series and whoever wins goes on to a big bowl game and the other goes on to some bowl they don’t want to be in. That is key, remember Alabama last year? After losing to Florida they had to play in a bowl game verse Utah that they didn’t want to be in and it cost them. That situation will happen again this year: close game, loser ends up in a meaningless bowl, the loser is favored, and then loses outright. We will need to find those plays on be on the right side.
Thursday Night:

Oregon State at Oregon (-10) for 1 unit. I agree with everything VM said, plus I love the home field advantage in this contest. Oregon is a different team at home and that will be clearly evident tonight as they win by 3 touchdowns over OSU.

LOCK OF THE YEAR #5: Texas (-14) vs Nebraska for 2 units: My Lock of the Year release record is currently at 3-1 and will be without a doubt at 4-1 by the end of Saturday night. Texas wins this game by 4 touchdowns. First off, lets look at where this game is being played, IN TEXAS at the Cowboys stadium. Therefore, the home field advantage goes lopsidedly to Texas. Secondly, Colt McCoy has been sick lately and has moved into front runner position for the Heisman. He can seal up that trophy with a superstar display on Saturday night. Thirdly, McCoy’s stock in the draft will also sharply rise with a strong performance when he and Texas are on center stage on Saturday night.  Statistically, Texas has the better defense, even though Nebraska’s D is no slouch. Nebraska’s offense has really struggled as of late and they will continue to struggle in this spot. They managed to only score 28 against the extremely weak Colorado Buffaloes. Plus, you know the Texas D was somewhat embarrassed by their weak performance against A&M last week so look for them to come out very focused this week. Finally, if Texas wins they play for the National Title, so I don’t see any let down for them in front of this Texas favored crowd. Texas wins in a blowout 49-14.

3) S.Florida/UCONN OVER 51 for 1 unit

4) West Virginia at Rutgers (-2) for 1 unit

5) Cincinnati at Pitt (+2) for 1 unit

6) Wisconsin at Hawaii (+12) for 1 unit

More plays posted later tonight.

Good Luck.



2 Responses to SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13:

  1. Huskers#1

    Date: Dec 05, 2009 at 3:41 am

    Awwwwwwwwwwww……… come on. A blow out!!! I don’t argue with you on the fact that they will cover this spread but don’t count on a blow out here just yet. Oklahoma battled texas and almost won. Nebraska completely shut down Oklahoma and played some amazing d playing virginia tech. The Nebraska defense is up there with the best of em. The offense is not good at all really and that is what makes the difference in this game. I see texas scoring maybe 28 to 34 points here and the huskers not doing much to compete at texas’s level. Another play to look at is the overs which I have at 43. I’m a Husker fan but play it real when it comes to who covers a spread. Keep up the good work

  2. Brandon Phillips

    Date: Dec 05, 2009 at 5:00 am

    I call it like I see it. As long as McCoy gets out of the pocket and is able to run and pass on the move, on a consistent basis, that Nebraska D will not be able to stop him. Nebraska only keeps this game close if they get to McCoy several times throughout the game. Yes, the Texas D gave up a ton of points to Texas A&M, but Nebraska does not have those weapons. Therefore, it will be very difficult for Nebraska to even get on the board.

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