SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL (WEEK 1 Cont.)

We may not get an easier win all year then we did with South Carolina. There were some nerves that had to be worked out on the first couple drives of the game, but once the flow of the game started there was no doubt who was in control.  1-0 with 1 unit of profit is a good way to start, but we have a long way to go in the season so lets stay focused on get a couple more winners on Saturday.

Western Michigan (+24) vs Michigan State: I am taking a shot here with WMU, for one main reason, a team must prove something to me before they go laying 24 points to anyone.  WMU returns 7 seven starters on the offensive side of the ball, but not their QB or RB. However, Alex Carder is a solid replacement for the great Hiller and will rely on one of the best offensive lines in the country and a solid core of receivers.  On the defensive side of things, WMU returns 6 guys, but more importantly several key guys in the secondary. MSU returns 7 starters on offense, including their QB Cousins.  MSU will be solid on the offensive side of the ball, but remember this team was not all that great last year so they do need to take some big strides this year.  Therefore, look for this game to be pretty high scoring, but I think WMU will have several opportunities to score and keep this well within range.

The play WMU +24 for 1 unit

Illinois vs Missouri -12: Let me say this up front, I am going against the conventional pick and line movement in this one.  Missouri opened as a 13.5-point chalk, but have fallen to -12.  Missouri returns 8 on both sides of the ball including their qb from a year ago.  Now there has been a lot of word out there that Illinois is a much improved squad from a year ago and their starting O-Line looks pretty great.  I just don’t see how, they only return 11 total players and only 5 on the offensive side of the ball.

The play Missouri for 1 unit.

Washington (+2.5) vs BYU: Tough opening to start things of for both teams, but you have got to believe that Wasington is simply more prepared and more experienced than this young BYU team.  Wash returns 19 players from last year (9 offense players including their QB, and most of their offensive lines.  BYU only returns 11 players total and they are implementing a new defensive and starting two QBs.  You have to lean towards the experienced play of the Huskies to pull through in this tough matchup.

The play is Washington +2.5 for 1 unit

Other games I like, but not enough to make the bet list:

1. Colorado -12

2. UCLA +2

3. Alabama over

4. North Texas +23.5

5. Fresno State -2

Good Luck