In all honesty, do not bet on tonight’s game. The Browns are a 9-point underdog at home off a bye week. The Giants are arguably the NFL’s best team. However, the Giants have had a very easy schedule and the Browns are playing tough teams and coming off a win. Some people are saying this is a trap game for the Giants. If they don’t take the Browns seriously, they may be in trouble.
On the other hand, a simple look at the Giants statistics and it looks like they will dominate this game. They lead the league in yards and points per game and are 2nd in points allowed, so statistically, it looks like the Giants should blowout the Browns.
How much will the home-dog, on a Monday night, off a bye week factor in for the Browns? Will they pull off the upset, cover the spread, or get blown out (or blowed out as Emmitt Smith likes to say)? I could see any of the above happening, so I’ll pass.
For the sake of kick and giggles, I’ll say Giants -8 is the play to make, but I’m not taking this game. I will also not be betting on the Giants because I will be pulling for the Browns since I would love nothing more than a Giants loss so the Eagles can gain some more ground in the NFC East.
Unbelievable! As I said, a great game to pass on! Only 1 ESPN analyst picked the Browns and look at the result. The NFL season keeps getting crazier. The Giants have been dominating almost every statistical category and the Browns win. The QB with the 2nd worst passer rating breaks out against one of the best defenses …
First off, I apologize for letting those down who have followed my picks. The last two weeks haven’t went so well for my picks. Due to the cold streak, I will no longer be betting on the NFL, or any sports for that matter, for the time being. Betting on sports is a crap shoot. I always figured that not only do you have a 50/50 shot, but you have the benefit of using statistics and knowledge of the teams in order to make an informed decision. I always thought that past results were the best indication of future performance, and that’s what makes sports betting so misleading. The fact of the matter is that what a team has done in their past 5 games has no bearing on what will occur in the current game. The bottom line is that it’s 0-0 at the beginning of the game with 60 minutes to play and there’s no way of telling what may happen. No handicapper can plan for every contingency in a game. You’ve heard all the cliches: any given Sunday, it’s a game of inches, the disparity between teams in the NFL is so small, more games in the NFL are lost than won. Really, most games are decided by 1 or 2 plays: a crucial third down conversion, a turnover, a poor referee call for roughing the passer on 3rd down when they got a stop to bring up 4th down.
I was shocked by some of the outcomes last week. If you told me the Rams would upset the Redskins, I would have laughed in your face. The Redskins, who are in the top 5 of the power rankings, at home against the 2nd worst team in …
There are a bunch of games worth looking at this week, but it was tough to decide to pick which one. I was thinking of going against the grain and instead of giving up points, try to go with an underdog and take the points. I thought about taking the Ravens +4.5. As much as I think the Ravens D that will dominate an offense that is out of rhythm, I don’t want to bet on against the Colts at home. Dolphins +3 was another option, but I just have a feeling that the Texans are due for a win. Then I looked at which games would be safe to give up the points on. Redskins over the Rams, Vikings over the Lions, and Giants over the Browns are all obvious winners, but with spreads like 13.5, I’ll pass. How many times do you hear “the disparity between the teams in the NFL is so small.” Exactly, I don’t want to lay down 13.5 to any team although betting against the Lions and Rams seems like a good strategy based on how horrible they are.
If you took the Jets -6 early, good news for you: Carson Palmer is OUT this week, which caused the spread to move to Jets -9.5.
I decided to go with Bears -3 over the Falcons for 10 units, which is my big game of the week. The Bears defense is playing outstanding and the Bears offense has been rolling. Matt Forte is a stud at RB and even Kyle Orton is making plays each week. Not only do the Bears have a running game, but Kyle Orton has been outstanding this year. He has an 87 passer rating and is having a better …
I don’t know if any of you were up at 1:00am on Thursday morning, but I turned it over to NFL Live on ESPN. They rattled off a stat that was pretty schocking: West Coast teams playing the 1:00 Sunday game, on the East Coast are 0-10 this year. The only game that specifically fits that criteria this week is Oakland at New Orleans. NO is a 7 point favorite. I am a little unsure about NO, but I still think they have the ability to win this game even after their tough loss on Monday night. Since NO is a 3-1 favorite to win we need to find an underdog team that has the potential win outright. Based on the recent play of Miami, they will definetly be competitive in the game against the Texans. The Texans are coming off a very tough last second loss to Indianapolis. The Texans are bound to win one game and their record doesn’t reflect the fact that they are actually a decent team, a team that had much higher expectations for this season. Miami is +140 on the money line so they add some value to the parlay. The Texans are going in the wrong direction after that loss and Miami is on a roll right now. So I will take Miami and New Orleans both to win. The parlay pays a little over 2 to 1, which seems like a good value when the Saints seem to be a lock to win.
2 Team Parlay: New Orleans & Miami (Rating +2)
New Orleans won in complete blowout and Miami disappointed after scoring a TD with less than 2 minutes left, but gave up TD in the final seconds of the game. …
The hockey season has already begun, but Thursday night will be the first night for games in the US and there is a strong pick already posted for the Bruins/Colorado game. Good Luck.
I also wanted to point out that there is a new poll over in the right column of the page. The question, which contender has faced the most heartache this season? The options: Chargers, Eagles, Saints, or Patriots.
The Broncos one the last poll, which was what team is most likely to win their division. The options were the Eagles, Browns, Cardinals, Vikings, and Broncos.
The following will be updated and amended accordingly throughout the week, so stay tuned.
OAKLAND RAIDERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -8
My first impression was that the Saints will win, but won’t cover. They’re coming of a demoralizing loss where some flaws have been exposed. The Raiders are coming off the bye week. JaMarcus Russell has been playing well. The last time the Raiders were on the road, they nearly beat the Buffalo Bills. I have my doubts about the Saints after Monday Night, but this could be a statement game for the Saints. Their defensive woes and offensive miscues may continue, which could be more likely since the Raiders are good at getting pressure on the QB. They have 12 sacks on the year (with 1 less games played than most people), which is ranked 9th. If you add their 3.0 sacks per-game average, they would be 3rd behind the Eagles and Steelers. I guess I’m just looking for ways to avoid the Saints because I wouldn’t want to give up 8 points to any team the way the Saints are losing in close games. On the other hand, I wouldn’t rule out a Saints blowout either. This is just a do not touch game for me.
Prediction — Saints 28 – Raiders 17
Pick Against the Spread: Saints -8 – Confidence 3/5
Pick Straight Up: Saints – Confidence 5/5
BALTIMORE RAVENS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -4.5
There’s no question that the Ravens have the best defense in the league. They’ve given up only 3 TDs in 4 games. That’s ridiculous. The Colts haven’t been overly impressive. They’re 32nd against the run, so McGahee and McClain are completely capable of dominating the time of possession. The Ravens will go out …
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